Syunik
vs
Shirak
Garuda Lions Prediction: Shirak
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Syunik vs Shirak overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Syunik vs Shirak
| Probability | Syunik | Draw | Shirak |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.9% | 30.9% | 46.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.9% | 30.9% | 46.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Shirak
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Syunik vs Shirak match preview
In the upcoming Armenia Premier League match, Syunik will host Shirak. The model gives Syunik a 23% chance of winning, while Shirak holds a stronger 46% probability of securing the victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 31%. The most probable scoreline is 0-1 in favor of Shirak, with a 14% chance of occurrence.
Recent form shows Syunik struggling with five consecutive matches without a win (L-L-D-L-D-L), while Shirak has had a mixed run, winning three of their last six games (L-L-W-W-L-W). Expected goals indicate Syunik at 0.85 and Shirak at 1.32, suggesting that Shirak may have the upper hand in this encounter. The overall confidence grade for this prediction is C, based solely on model probabilities.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Syunik and Shirak expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
Syunik and Shirak attack and defence ratings
Syunik
Shirak
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Syunik vs Shirak markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shirak | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Syunik | 22.9% |
| Draw | 30.9% | |
| Shirak | 46.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.3% |
| No | 56.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shirak win | 22.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 53.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 13.8% | |
| 0-0 | 12.7% |
Syunik vs Shirak stats
Syunik and Shirak recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Syunik and Shirak season so far
Syunik record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Shirak record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.