Sardarapat
vs
FC Noah
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Noah
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Sardarapat vs FC Noah overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sardarapat vs FC Noah
| Probability | Sardarapat | Draw | FC Noah |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.7% | 24.2% | 51.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 24.7% | 24.2% | 51.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Noah
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.29.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Sardarapat vs FC Noah match preview
Sardarapat faces FC Noah in an upcoming Armenia Premier League match, with kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 25% chance of a Sardarapat victory, while FC Noah is favored with a 51% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring with a 10% likelihood. Both teams show a strong potential for scoring, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% probability that both teams will find the net.
In terms of recent form, Sardarapat has recorded two draws, a win, and two losses in their last five matches, while FC Noah is on a six-match winning streak. The expected goals for Sardarapat stand at 1.29, compared to FC Noah's 1.92, reflecting the latter's strong offensive performance.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sardarapat and FC Noah expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.21
Sardarapat and FC Noah attack and defence ratings
Sardarapat
FC Noah
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sardarapat vs FC Noah markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Noah | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sardarapat | 24.7% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| FC Noah | 51.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.9% |
| No | 37.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Noah win | 29.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 48.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-2 | 7.4% |
Sardarapat vs FC Noah stats
Sardarapat and FC Noah recent form
| Sardarapat |
DDWLWD |
| FC Noah |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sardarapat and FC Noah season so far
Sardarapat record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Noah record
- They have won 7 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.