Sardarapat
vs
FC Noah
1 – 5 Full time
| 13′ | M. Gonzalez | ||
| 41′ | H. Hambardzumyan | ||
| 44′ | D. Sualehe | ||
| 45′ | V. Costache | ||
| 76′ | M. Jakolis | ||
| 84′ | M. Lazetic | ||
| 90′ | S. Mambo | ||
| 90′ | L. Petrosyan | ||
| 90′ | Helder Ferreira |
Sardarapat vs FC Noah overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sardarapat vs FC Noah
| Probability | Sardarapat | Draw | FC Noah |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.9% | 24.2% | 50.9% |
| Market | 9.5% | 16.8% | 73.7% |
| Final | 13.4% | 18.6% | 68.0% |
| Edge | +3.8% | +1.9% | -5.7% |
Why FC Noah
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sardarapat and FC Noah expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.34
Sardarapat and FC Noah attack and defence ratings
Sardarapat
FC Noah
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sardarapat vs FC Noah: result vs prediction
Sardarapat 1 – 5 FC Noah
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sardarapat vs FC Noah markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Noah | 68.0% | 1.47 | -5.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sardarapat | 13.4% |
| Draw | 18.6% | |
| FC Noah | 68.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.0% |
| No | 37.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 32.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 86.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Noah win | 37.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 40.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-2 | 7.4% |
Sardarapat vs FC Noah stats
Sardarapat and FC Noah recent form
| Sardarapat |
DDLLWD |
| FC Noah |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sardarapat and FC Noah going into this match
Sardarapat record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
FC Noah record
- They have won 8 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
Sardarapat vs FC Noah head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Sardarapat vs FC Noah odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 9.5%, draw 16.8%, away 73.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 10.20 | 5.45 | 1.21 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 5.25 | 1.27 |
| BetVictor | 10.00 | 5.50 | 1.22 |
| Betano | 8.00 | 5.10 | 1.27 |
| Betfair | 10.50 | 5.50 | 1.18 |
| Dafabet | 8.80 | 5.80 | 1.26 |
| Marathonbet | 9.60 | 5.45 | 1.20 |
| Pinnacle | 8.97 | 5.72 | 1.24 |
| William Hill | 10.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .