Pyunik Yerevan
vs
BKMA
Garuda Lions Prediction: Pyunik Yerevan
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA
| Probability | Pyunik Yerevan | Draw | BKMA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.0% | 24.7% | 17.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 58.0% | 24.7% | 17.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Pyunik Yerevan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA match preview
Pyunik Yerevan is favored to win against BKMA in their upcoming match, with a probability of 58% compared to BKMA's 17%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 2-0 in favor of Pyunik, which aligns with their expected goals of 1.83, while BKMA has an expected goals figure of 0.91.
In terms of recent form, Pyunik Yerevan has recorded two wins in their last five matches (D-W-L-D-W-W), while BKMA has struggled, with only one win in their last five (D-L-W-W-L-L). Historically, Pyunik has dominated their encounters with BKMA, winning all three of their last meetings without any draws. The probabilities indicate a strong likelihood of a Pyunik victory, although the confidence grade remains at C, suggesting some uncertainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pyunik Yerevan and BKMA expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Pyunik Yerevan and BKMA attack and defence ratings
Pyunik Yerevan
BKMA
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyunik Yerevan | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyunik Yerevan | 58.0% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| BKMA | 17.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% |
| No | 48.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pyunik Yerevan win | 34.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 42.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-0 | 10.8% | |
| 1-0 | 10.7% |
Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA stats
Pyunik Yerevan and BKMA recent form
| Pyunik Yerevan |
DWLDWW |
| BKMA |
DLWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pyunik Yerevan and BKMA season so far
Pyunik Yerevan record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
BKMA record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Pyunik Yerevan | BKMA | Armenia Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | BKMA | Pyunik Yerevan | Armenia Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Pyunik Yerevan | BKMA | Armenia Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.