Armenia Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Alashkert vs Pyunik Yerevan

3 – 3 Full time

5′I. Pikis
21′Witi
29′S. Vakulenko
35′R. Hakobyan
37′O. Farayola
43′H. Adebayo
46′H. AdebayoRafael Jesus
46′R. HakobyanD. Terteryan
53′G. Tarakhchyan
60′P. EjikeM. Toure
63′G. TarakhchyanI. Darbinyan
63′WitiI. Griffith
65′James Santos
73′E. Simonyan
75′K. Nalbandyan
84′D. J. Massoumou
88′O. FarayolaD. Aghbalyan
90′E. SimonyanH. Tatosyan
90′S. IslamovicS. Metoyan
90′K. NalbandyanS. Gigolyan
90′I. Pikis

Alashkert Stadium, Yerevan

Alashkert 38%
Draw 30%
Pyunik Yerevan 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Alashkert vs Pyunik Yerevan overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Alashkert vs Pyunik Yerevan

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAlashkertDrawPyunik Yerevan
Model44.6%31.2%24.2%
Market35.9%29.5%34.6%
Final38.0%29.9%32.0%
Edge+8.7%+1.7%-10.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Alashkert

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.29 vs 0.88.
  • The market prices Alashkert below the model: +8.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Alashkert ↓ / Pyunik Yerevan → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 9% 1 13% 14% 2 9% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Alashkert and Pyunik Yerevan expected goals

Alashkert 1.29
Pyunik Yerevan 0.88

Total expected goals: 2.17

Alashkert and Pyunik Yerevan attack and defence ratings

Alashkert

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Pyunik Yerevan

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Alashkert vs Pyunik Yerevan: result vs prediction

Alashkert 3 – 3 Pyunik Yerevan

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Armenia Premier League

Before and after this match

Alashkert vs Pyunik Yerevan markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Alashkert 38.0% 2.63 +8.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.2% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 56.3% 1.78 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.1% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.4% 1.81 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Alashkert38.0%
Draw29.9%
Pyunik Yerevan32.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.8%
Under 2.563.2%
Both teams to scoreYes43.7%
No56.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.0%
12 (either side)70.1%
X2 (draw or away)62.0%
Handicap -1Alashkert win21.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss55.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
1-013.4%
0-012.8%

Alashkert vs Pyunik Yerevan stats

Alashkert and Pyunik Yerevan recent form

newest first
Alashkert DWDWLW
Pyunik Yerevan WLDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Alashkert and Pyunik Yerevan going into this match

league record before kick-off

Alashkert record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Pyunik Yerevan record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Alashkert vs Pyunik Yerevan head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Alashkert wins 2Draws 7Pyunik Yerevan wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21AlashkertPyunik YerevanArmenia Premier League0-1
2026-03-15Pyunik YerevanAlashkertArmenia Premier League1-0
2025-08-04AlashkertPyunik YerevanArmenia Premier League1-2
2025-04-05Pyunik YerevanAlashkertPremier League1-1
2025-02-25AlashkertPyunik YerevanPremier League0-2
2024-08-18Pyunik YerevanAlashkertPremier League0-2
2024-04-12Pyunik YerevanAlashkertPremier League2-1
2023-12-06AlashkertPyunik YerevanPremier League1-1
2023-09-29Pyunik YerevanAlashkertPremier League3-1
2023-07-31AlashkertPyunik YerevanPremier League0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Alashkert vs Pyunik Yerevan odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.9%, draw 29.5%, away 34.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.51 2.99 2.57
Bet365 2.50 3.20 2.55
BetVictor 2.55 3.10 2.60
Betano 2.55 3.00 2.60
Betfair 2.50 3.10 2.60
Marathonbet 2.51 2.99 2.57
Pinnacle 2.57 3.11 2.63
William Hill 2.50 2.90 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.51 ▼ -0.01
X 3.05 ▲ +0.05
2 2.60 ▲ +0.04

3 snapshots recorded, from .