Sardarapat
vs
Alashkert
1 – 1 Full time
| 27′ | S. Kochkanyan | ||
| 30′ | Sardarapat | ||
| 30′ | M. Toure | ||
| 36′ | D. Terteryan | ||
| 46′ | D. TerteryanR. Hakobyan | ||
| 50′ | A. Sargsyan | ||
| 57′ | D. J. MassoumouJ. Granado | ||
| 84′ | H. HakobyanJ. Sabobo | ||
| 84′ | Rafael JesusD. Togola |
Sardarapat vs Alashkert overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sardarapat vs Alashkert
| Probability | Sardarapat | Draw | Alashkert |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.1% | 26.7% | 42.2% |
| Market | 12.9% | 20.8% | 66.3% |
| Final | 17.4% | 22.3% | 60.3% |
| Edge | +18.2% | +5.9% | -24.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sardarapat and Alashkert expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Sardarapat and Alashkert attack and defence ratings
Sardarapat
Alashkert
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sardarapat vs Alashkert: result vs prediction
Sardarapat 1 – 1 Alashkert
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sardarapat vs Alashkert markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alashkert | 60.3% | 1.66 | -24.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sardarapat | 17.4% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Alashkert | 60.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alashkert win | 22.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 57.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
Sardarapat vs Alashkert stats
Sardarapat and Alashkert recent form
| Sardarapat |
WLWDWW |
| Alashkert |
WDWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sardarapat and Alashkert going into this match
Sardarapat record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Alashkert record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sardarapat vs Alashkert head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Sardarapat vs Alashkert odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 12.9%, draw 20.8%, away 66.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.41 | 4.33 | 1.36 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.42 |
| BetVictor | 7.00 | 4.40 | 1.36 |
| Betano | 6.20 | 4.25 | 1.40 |
| Betfair | 7.00 | 4.40 | 1.33 |
| Marathonbet | 7.10 | 4.33 | 1.35 |
| Pinnacle | 7.22 | 4.47 | 1.37 |
| SBO | 6.47 | 4.16 | 1.34 |
| William Hill | 7.00 | 4.00 | 1.36 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .