Armenia Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Pyunik Yerevan vs Sardarapat

2 – 4 Full time

21′D. Kulikov
34′H. Minasyan
46′WitiM. Kovalenko
55′I. Pikis
57′H. HarutyunyanH. Tatosyan
63′L. PetrosyanM. Hakobyan
64′S. KochkanyanA. Danielyan
64′O. KonateS. Galstyan
70′I. Pikis
71′D. KulikovE. Malakyan
75′L. VardanyanS. Alabi
76′G. AbrahamyanT. Ayunts
81′S. Vakulenko
84′M. Hakobyan
86′S. VakulenkoE. Simonyan
86′I. PikisS. Metoyan

Armavir stadium, Armavir

Pyunik Yerevan 24%
Draw 24%
Sardarapat 52%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Pyunik Yerevan vs Sardarapat overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Pyunik Yerevan vs Sardarapat

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPyunik YerevanDrawSardarapat
Model54.8%29.0%16.2%
Market14.4%22.4%63.3%
Final24.5%24.0%51.5%
Edge+40.5%+6.6%-47.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Pyunik Yerevan ↓ / Sardarapat → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 1 16% 13% 2 13% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Pyunik Yerevan and Sardarapat expected goals

Pyunik Yerevan 1.46
Sardarapat 0.68

Total expected goals: 2.14

Pyunik Yerevan and Sardarapat attack and defence ratings

Pyunik Yerevan

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.49 -51%

Sardarapat

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Pyunik Yerevan vs Sardarapat: result vs prediction

Pyunik Yerevan 2 – 4 Sardarapat

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Armenia Premier League

Before and after this match

Pyunik Yerevan vs Sardarapat markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sardarapat 51.5% 1.94 -47.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.8% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score No 60.8% 1.64 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.0% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 83.8% 1.19 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Pyunik Yerevan24.5%
Draw24.0%
Sardarapat51.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.2%
Under 2.563.8%
Both teams to scoreYes39.2%
No60.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.5%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)75.5%
Handicap -1Sardarapat win4.7%
Push (exactly one goal)11.5%
Loss83.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.0%
0-012.9%
1-112.8%

Pyunik Yerevan vs Sardarapat stats

Pyunik Yerevan and Sardarapat recent form

newest first
Pyunik Yerevan DWWWDD
Sardarapat LWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Pyunik Yerevan and Sardarapat going into this match

league record before kick-off

Pyunik Yerevan record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Sardarapat record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Pyunik Yerevan vs Sardarapat head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Pyunik Yerevan vs Sardarapat odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 14.4%, draw 22.4%, away 63.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.67 4.05 1.42
Bet365 4.75 3.70 1.57
BetVictor 6.00 4.10 1.45
Betano 6.10 3.90 1.45
Betfair 6.50 4.20 1.40
Dafabet 6.80 4.20 1.44
Marathonbet 6.40 4.05 1.41
Pinnacle 6.62 4.12 1.43
Superbet 6.30 4.15 1.44
Unibet 5.75 3.80 1.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.35 ▼ -0.35
X 4.07 ▼ -0.03
2 1.44 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .