Armenia Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Shirak vs Sardarapat

2 – 0 Full time

15′L. Darbinyan
19′R. Misakyan
38′D. Kodia
50′B. Mesamba
53′S. Galstyan
57′Shirak
57′O. KonateJ. Quinonez
61′B. MesambaL. Bamba
70′S. GalstyanT. Ayunts
70′G. AbrahamyanR. Potinyan
71′L. DarbinyanR. Mkrtchyan
71′V. SargsyanN. Janoyan
73′L. Petrosyan
80′A. Sargsyan
80′R. MisakyanS. Ghukasyan
80′H. MinasyanJ. Davtyan
80′S. KochkanyanA. Danielyan

Gyumri City Stadium, Gyumri

Shirak 36%
Draw 28%
Sardarapat 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Shirak vs Sardarapat overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Shirak vs Sardarapat

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityShirakDrawSardarapat
Model25.4%27.6%47.0%
Market39.5%28.5%32.1%
Final36.0%28.3%35.8%
Edge-14.0%-0.9%+14.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Shirak ↓ / Sardarapat → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 10% 9% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Shirak and Sardarapat expected goals

Shirak 1.10
Sardarapat 1.56

Total expected goals: 2.66

Shirak and Sardarapat attack and defence ratings

Shirak

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Sardarapat

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Shirak vs Sardarapat: result vs prediction

Shirak 2 – 0 Sardarapat

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Armenia Premier League

Before and after this match

Shirak vs Sardarapat markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Shirak 36.0% 2.78 -14.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.4% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.8% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.7% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.5% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Shirak36.0%
Draw28.3%
Sardarapat35.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.6%
Under 2.550.4%
Both teams to scoreYes53.8%
No46.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.2%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)64.0%
Handicap -1Shirak win10.3%
Push (exactly one goal)15.2%
Loss74.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
0-19.8%
1-29.4%

Shirak vs Sardarapat stats

Shirak and Sardarapat recent form

newest first
Shirak WLWLDL
Sardarapat WDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Shirak and Sardarapat going into this match

league record before kick-off

Shirak record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sardarapat record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Shirak vs Sardarapat head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Shirak vs Sardarapat odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.5%, draw 28.5%, away 32.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.29 3.16 2.87
Bet365 2.20 3.20 2.88
BetVictor 2.30 3.25 2.80
Marathonbet 2.27 3.16 2.81
Pinnacle 2.30 3.29 2.84
William Hill 2.30 3.00 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.29 ▼ -0.20
X 3.18 ▲ +0.03
2 2.83 ▲ +0.25

3 snapshots recorded, from .