Armenia Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 6

BKMA vs FC Urartu

2 – 1 Full time

21′N. Hovhannisyan
29′BKMA
35′FC Urartu
45′BKMA
51′FC Urartu
54′P. ManukyanA. Bratkov
54′M. VelosaM. Mirzoyan
58′M. Rajani
59′BKMA
68′N. Hovhannisyan
69′A. PetrosyanS. Movsisyan
73′K. AyvazyanK. Melkonyan
73′N. AghasaryanG. Lulukyan
79′D. DavtyanH. Manukyan
83′D. HarutyunyanZ. Ashikyan
83′N. HovhannisyanM. Asiryan
84′Y. TsymbalyukE. Vardanyan

Football Academy Stadium, Yerevan

BKMA 23%
Draw 26%
FC Urartu 51%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

BKMA vs FC Urartu overview

Garuda Lions analysis: BKMA vs FC Urartu

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBKMADrawFC Urartu
Model35.0%31.2%33.8%
Market19.2%24.2%56.6%
Final23.2%26.0%50.9%
Edge+15.8%+6.9%-22.7%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Urartu

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

BKMA ↓ / FC Urartu → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 10% 1 10% 15% 7% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 12%

BKMA and FC Urartu expected goals

BKMA 1.15
FC Urartu 1.13

Total expected goals: 2.28

BKMA and FC Urartu attack and defence ratings

BKMA

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.00 +0%

FC Urartu

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

BKMA vs FC Urartu: result vs prediction

BKMA 2 – 1 FC Urartu

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Armenia Premier League

Before and after this match

BKMA vs FC Urartu markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Urartu 50.9% 1.97 -22.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.1% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score No 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.2% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2BKMA23.2%
Draw26.0%
FC Urartu50.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.9%
Under 2.560.1%
Both teams to scoreYes47.6%
No52.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)49.1%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)76.8%
Handicap -1FC Urartu win14.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss66.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-011.6%
1-010.5%

BKMA vs FC Urartu stats

BKMA and FC Urartu recent form

newest first
BKMA WLLLDD
FC Urartu DWWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

BKMA and FC Urartu going into this match

league record before kick-off

BKMA record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

FC Urartu record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

BKMA vs FC Urartu head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2BKMA wins 1Draws 7FC Urartu wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-20BKMAFC UrartuArmenia Premier League0-1
2026-03-15FC UrartuBKMAArmenia Premier League4-1
2025-08-02BKMAFC UrartuArmenia Premier League1-1
2025-05-11BKMAFC UrartuPremier League0-1
2024-11-06FC UrartuBKMAPremier League4-2
2024-10-03BKMAFC UrartuCup0-4
2024-09-25BKMAFC UrartuPremier League2-1
2024-04-13FC UrartuBKMAPremier League2-1
2024-03-12FC UrartuBKMACup4-0
2023-12-04BKMAFC UrartuPremier League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

BKMA vs FC Urartu odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.2%, draw 24.2%, away 56.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.92 3.72 1.59
Bet365 5.00 3.80 1.53
BetVictor 4.50 3.80 1.62
Marathonbet 4.85 3.72 1.57
Pinnacle 4.46 3.77 1.66
William Hill 4.60 3.60 1.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.72 ▼ -0.08
X 3.75 ▲ +0.06
2 1.60 ▲ +0.02

3 snapshots recorded, from .