Armenia Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
FC Urartu
vs
Alashkert
1 – 1 Full time
FC Urartu
27%
Draw
29%
Alashkert
44%
FC Urartu vs Alashkert overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Urartu vs Alashkert
| Probability | FC Urartu | Draw | Alashkert |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.7% | 29.3% | 43.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.7% | 29.3% | 43.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Alashkert
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
FC Urartu and Alashkert expected goals
FC Urartu
1.04
Alashkert
1.40
Total expected goals: 2.45
FC Urartu and Alashkert attack and defence ratings
FC Urartu
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Alashkert
Attack
1.23 +23%
Defence
0.68 -32%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Urartu vs Alashkert: result vs prediction
FC Urartu 1 – 1 Alashkert
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Urartu vs Alashkert markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alashkert | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.3% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Urartu | 26.7% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| Alashkert | 43.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% |
| No | 49.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alashkert win | 21.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 56.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-1 | 10.9% | |
| 0-0 | 9.9% |
FC Urartu vs Alashkert stats
FC Urartu and Alashkert recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Urartu and Alashkert going into this match
FC Urartu record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Alashkert record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
FC Urartu vs Alashkert head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
6FC Urartu wins
1Draws
3Alashkert wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | FC Urartu | Alashkert | Armenia Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-29 | Alashkert | FC Urartu | Armenia Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-22 | FC Urartu | Alashkert | Armenia Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-11 | Alashkert | FC Urartu | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-03 | FC Urartu | Alashkert | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-24 | Alashkert | FC Urartu | Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2024-05-16 | FC Urartu | Alashkert | Premier League | 6-1 |
| 2024-03-16 | Alashkert | FC Urartu | Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2023-11-08 | FC Urartu | Alashkert | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2023-09-15 | Alashkert | FC Urartu | Premier League | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.