Armenia Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Gandzasar
vs
BKMA
0 – 3 Full time
Gandzasar
45%
Draw
28%
BKMA
27%
Gandzasar vs BKMA overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gandzasar vs BKMA
| Probability | Gandzasar | Draw | BKMA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.0% | 28.4% | 26.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.0% | 28.4% | 26.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Gandzasar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
48%
No goals
9%
Gandzasar and BKMA expected goals
Gandzasar
1.47
BKMA
1.11
Total expected goals: 2.58
Gandzasar and BKMA attack and defence ratings
Gandzasar
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
1.46 +46%
BKMA
Attack
0.65 -35%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gandzasar vs BKMA: result vs prediction
Gandzasar 0 – 3 BKMA
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gandzasar vs BKMA markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gandzasar | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gandzasar | 45.0% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| BKMA | 26.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% |
| No | 47.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gandzasar win | 22.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 55.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 10.0% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Gandzasar vs BKMA stats
Gandzasar and BKMA recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gandzasar and BKMA going into this match
Gandzasar record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 73% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
BKMA record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Gandzasar vs BKMA head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
0Gandzasar wins
3Draws
0BKMA wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | BKMA | Gandzasar | Armenia Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Gandzasar | BKMA | Armenia Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | BKMA | Gandzasar | Armenia Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.