FC Noah
vs
Gandzasar
3 – 2 Full time
| 13′ | S. Mambo | ||
| 34′ | L. Reis | ||
| 40′ | M. Jakolis | ||
| 43′ | M. Jakolis | ||
| 46′ | Z. KhudaverdyanH. Hambardzumyan | ||
| 46′ | E. BoakyeB. Oddei | ||
| 57′ | Joao AdrianoM. Asatryan | ||
| 61′ | T. OshimaG. Manvelyan | ||
| 61′ | S. MuradyanN. Saintini | ||
| 62′ | Gandzasar | ||
| 65′ | M. LazeticM. Gonzalez | ||
| 68′ | M. AhouangboD. Titkov | ||
| 81′ | A. MensahM. Kankanyan | ||
| 90′ | Gandzasar | ||
| 90′ | Gandzasar | ||
| 90′ | Gandzasar | ||
| 90′ | G. Manvelyan |
FC Noah vs Gandzasar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Noah vs Gandzasar
| Probability | FC Noah | Draw | Gandzasar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 90.5% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Market | 84.6% | 11.0% | 4.4% |
| Final | 86.1% | 10.0% | 3.9% |
| Edge | +5.9% | -4.0% | -1.9% |
Why FC Noah
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.83 vs 0.66.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Noah below the model: +5.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Noah and Gandzasar expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.49
FC Noah and Gandzasar attack and defence ratings
FC Noah
Gandzasar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Noah vs Gandzasar: result vs prediction
FC Noah 3 – 2 Gandzasar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Noah vs Gandzasar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Noah | 86.1% | 1.16 | +5.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Noah win | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Noah | 86.1% |
| Draw | 10.0% | |
| Gandzasar | 3.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.4% |
| No | 52.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 96.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 90.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 13.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Noah win | 78.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.3% | |
| Loss | 9.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 10.6% |
| 4-0 | 10.1% | |
| 2-0 | 8.3% |
FC Noah vs Gandzasar stats
FC Noah and Gandzasar recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Noah and Gandzasar going into this match
FC Noah record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Gandzasar record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 73% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Noah vs Gandzasar head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Gandzasar | FC Noah | Armenia Premier League | 1-4 |
| 2026-04-10 | Gandzasar | FC Noah | Armenia Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2025-08-17 | FC Noah | Gandzasar | Armenia Premier League | 4-1 |
| 2025-04-20 | FC Noah | Gandzasar | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-02 | FC Noah | Gandzasar | Cup | 4-0 |
| 2025-03-10 | Gandzasar | FC Noah | Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2025-03-06 | Gandzasar | FC Noah | Cup | 0-3 |
| 2024-12-08 | FC Noah | Gandzasar | Premier League | 7-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Noah vs Gandzasar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 84.6%, draw 11.0%, away 4.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.09 | 7.40 | 21.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.05 | 8.40 | 27.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.09 | 9.00 | 21.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.06 | 9.00 | 23.00 |
| Betano | 1.10 | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| Betfair | 1.06 | 9.00 | 21.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.10 | 8.60 | 19.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.05 | 8.40 | 27.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.09 | 8.78 | 19.04 |
| Superbet | 1.11 | 7.70 | 15.00 |
| William Hill | 1.10 | 7.50 | 29.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .