Armenia Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Alashkert
vs
Van
4 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | D. J. Massoumou | ||
| 39′ | D. J. Massoumou | ||
| 46′ | Brayann SantiagoP. E. Obinna | ||
| 46′ | T. GevorgyanV. Minasyan | ||
| 62′ | D. J. Massoumou | ||
| 70′ | Rafael Jesus | ||
| 72′ | N. ManukyanT. Sargsyan | ||
| 72′ | E. MensahY. Martirosyan | ||
| 76′ | E. PiloyanH. Adebayo | ||
| 76′ | M. ToureP. Ejike | ||
| 79′ | K. Boukari | ||
| 80′ | Y. Matyukhin | ||
| 80′ | D. J. MassoumouD. Togola | ||
| 80′ | K. NalbandyanJ. Granado | ||
| 83′ | K. BoukariA. Karapetyan | ||
| 87′ | Y. MatyukhinI. D. Nduka | ||
| 90′ | P. Ejike |
Alashkert
78%
Draw
15%
Van
7%
Alashkert vs Van overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alashkert vs Van
| Probability | Alashkert | Draw | Van |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 80.2% | 15.0% | 4.8% |
| Market | 77.4% | 15.1% | 7.5% |
| Final | 78.1% | 15.1% | 6.9% |
| Edge | +2.8% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
Why Alashkert
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 0.48.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Alashkert below the model: +2.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
6%
Alashkert and Van expected goals
Alashkert
2.45
Van
0.48
Total expected goals: 2.93
Alashkert and Van attack and defence ratings
Alashkert
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
0.71 -29%
Van
Attack
0.58 -42%
Defence
1.42 +42%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Alashkert vs Van: result vs prediction
Alashkert 4 – 0 Van
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Alashkert vs Van markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alashkert | 78.1% | 1.28 | +2.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Alashkert win | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alashkert | 78.1% |
| Draw | 15.1% | |
| Van | 6.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.5% |
| No | 64.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 21.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alashkert win | 58.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 19.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 16.0% |
| 3-0 | 13.1% | |
| 1-0 | 12.4% |
Alashkert vs Van stats
Alashkert and Van recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alashkert and Van going into this match
Alashkert record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Van record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They average 0.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Alashkert vs Van head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Alashkert wins
4Draws
2Van wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Van | Alashkert | Armenia Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Alashkert | Van | Armenia Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Van | Alashkert | Armenia Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-29 | Alashkert | Van | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-01 | Van | Alashkert | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-09 | Alashkert | Van | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-22 | Van | Alashkert | Premier League | 2-3 |
| 2024-02-23 | Alashkert | Van | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2023-10-20 | Van | Alashkert | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-14 | Alashkert | Van | Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Alashkert vs Van odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 77.4%, draw 15.1%, away 7.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.18 | 5.50 | 14.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.13 | 6.35 | 14.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.15 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.20 | 5.60 | 10.25 |
| Betfair | 1.17 | 5.50 | 12.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.19 | 6.60 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.13 | 6.40 | 14.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17 | 6.60 | 11.71 |
| SBO | 1.17 | 5.61 | 9.26 |
| Superbet | 1.21 | 5.85 | 9.70 |
| Unibet | 1.15 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| William Hill | 1.18 | 6.00 | 13.00 |