Armenia Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Van vs Shirak

0 – 4 Full time

Charentsavan City Stadium, Charentsavan

Van 36%
Draw 35%
Shirak 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Van vs Shirak overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Van vs Shirak

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVanDrawShirak
Model36.4%34.8%28.8%
Market———
Final36.4%34.8%28.8%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Van ↓ / Shirak → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 12% 1 14% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 17%

Van and Shirak expected goals

Van 1.00
Shirak 0.86

Total expected goals: 1.86

Van and Shirak attack and defence ratings

Van

Attack 0.62 -38%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Shirak

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Van vs Shirak: result vs prediction

Van 0 – 4 Shirak

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Armenia Premier League

Before and after this match

Van vs Shirak markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Van 36.4% 2.75 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.4% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score No 62.1% 1.61 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.2% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.6% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Van36.4%
Draw34.8%
Shirak28.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.6%
Under 2.571.4%
Both teams to scoreYes37.9%
No62.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.2%
12 (either side)65.2%
X2 (draw or away)63.6%
Handicap -1Van win14.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss63.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.9%
1-114.7%
1-014.2%

Van vs Shirak stats

Van and Shirak recent form

newest first
Van DLLLLL
Shirak LWLDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Van and Shirak going into this match

league record before kick-off

Van record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
  • They average 0.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

Shirak record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Van vs Shirak head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

8Van wins 1Draws 1Shirak wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-08VanShirakArmenia Premier League1-0
2025-11-02ShirakVanArmenia Premier League2-3
2025-09-19VanShirakArmenia Premier League3-2
2025-04-12ShirakVanPremier League0-1
2024-12-02VanShirakPremier League1-0
2024-10-01ShirakVanCup0-3
2024-08-26ShirakVanPremier League0-2
2024-04-18ShirakVanPremier League0-0
2023-12-09VanShirakPremier League4-0
2023-10-03ShirakVanPremier League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Van vs Shirak odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.