Armenia Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Shirak vs FC Urartu

0 – 1 Full time

Gyumri City Stadium, Gyumri

Shirak 24%
Draw 27%
FC Urartu 49%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Shirak vs FC Urartu overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Shirak vs FC Urartu

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityShirakDrawFC Urartu
Model25.0%29.2%45.8%
Market23.3%26.3%50.4%
Final23.7%27.0%49.3%
Edge+1.7%+2.9%-4.6%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Urartu

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 1.00.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Shirak ↓ / FC Urartu → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 11% 9% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Shirak and FC Urartu expected goals

Shirak 1.00
FC Urartu 1.43

Total expected goals: 2.43

Shirak and FC Urartu attack and defence ratings

Shirak

Attack 0.61 -39%
Defence 1.15 +15%

FC Urartu

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Shirak vs FC Urartu: result vs prediction

Shirak 0 – 1 FC Urartu

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Armenia Premier League

Before and after this match

Shirak vs FC Urartu markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Urartu 49.3% 2.03 -4.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.2% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score No 50.7% 1.97 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 76.3% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.2% 1.85 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Shirak23.7%
Draw27.0%
FC Urartu49.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.8%
Under 2.556.2%
Both teams to scoreYes49.3%
No50.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.7%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)76.3%
Handicap -1FC Urartu win23.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss54.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
0-111.4%
0-010.1%

Shirak vs FC Urartu stats

Shirak and FC Urartu recent form

newest first
Shirak WLDLDL
FC Urartu WLDLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Shirak and FC Urartu going into this match

league record before kick-off

Shirak record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Urartu record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Shirak vs FC Urartu head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Shirak wins 1Draws 2FC Urartu wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-18ShirakFC UrartuArmenia Premier League0-0
2025-10-24FC UrartuShirakArmenia Premier League5-0
2025-09-26ShirakFC UrartuArmenia Premier League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Shirak vs FC Urartu odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.3%, draw 26.3%, away 50.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.95 3.40 1.80
1xBet 4.03 3.56 1.75
888Sport 3.80 3.40 1.80
Bet365 3.80 3.60 1.73
BetVictor 4.10 3.40 1.80
Betano 3.85 3.30 1.83
Betfair 4.20 3.50 1.73
Dafabet 4.00 3.50 1.83
Marathonbet 3.95 3.56 1.73
Pinnacle 3.74 3.73 1.80
SBO 3.65 3.04 1.77
Superbet 3.90 3.45 1.83
William Hill 3.80 3.40 1.80

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.