BKMA
vs
FC Noah
0 – 1 Full time
BKMA vs FC Noah overview
Garuda Lions analysis: BKMA vs FC Noah
| Probability | BKMA | Draw | FC Noah |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.4% | 20.1% | 67.6% |
| Market | 7.4% | 14.7% | 77.9% |
| Final | 8.6% | 16.0% | 75.3% |
| Edge | +5.0% | +5.4% | -10.3% |
Why FC Noah
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 0.88.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
BKMA and FC Noah expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
BKMA and FC Noah attack and defence ratings
BKMA
FC Noah
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
BKMA vs FC Noah: result vs prediction
BKMA 0 – 1 FC Noah
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
BKMA vs FC Noah markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Noah | 75.3% | 1.33 | -10.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Noah win | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BKMA | 8.6% |
| Draw | 16.0% | |
| FC Noah | 75.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% |
| No | 46.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 24.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 91.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Noah win | 45.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 32.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 1-1 | 9.5% |
BKMA vs FC Noah stats
BKMA and FC Noah recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
BKMA and FC Noah going into this match
BKMA record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
FC Noah record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
BKMA vs FC Noah head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | FC Noah | BKMA | Armenia Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-08 | BKMA | FC Noah | Armenia Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2025-12-06 | FC Noah | BKMA | Armenia Premier League | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
BKMA vs FC Noah odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 7.4%, draw 14.7%, away 77.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 13.20 | 6.20 | 1.14 |
| Bet365 | 11.00 | 5.50 | 1.20 |
| BetVictor | 15.00 | 6.00 | 1.15 |
| Betano | 11.00 | 5.50 | 1.20 |
| Betfair | 14.00 | 6.50 | 1.13 |
| Dafabet | 13.00 | 6.20 | 1.18 |
| Marathonbet | 13.25 | 6.20 | 1.14 |
| Pinnacle | 12.32 | 6.42 | 1.17 |
| SBO | 10.12 | 5.61 | 1.16 |
| Superbet | 11.00 | 6.20 | 1.18 |
| William Hill | 12.00 | 5.50 | 1.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .