Ararat-Armenia
vs
Sardarapat
1 – 1 Full time
Ararat-Armenia vs Sardarapat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ararat-Armenia vs Sardarapat
| Probability | Ararat-Armenia | Draw | Sardarapat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.9% | 25.8% | 34.3% |
| Market | 62.8% | 21.4% | 15.8% |
| Final | 57.1% | 22.5% | 20.5% |
| Edge | -22.9% | +4.4% | +18.5% |
Why Ararat-Armenia
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ararat-Armenia and Sardarapat expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
Ararat-Armenia and Sardarapat attack and defence ratings
Ararat-Armenia
Sardarapat
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ararat-Armenia vs Sardarapat: result vs prediction
Ararat-Armenia 1 – 1 Sardarapat
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ararat-Armenia vs Sardarapat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ararat-Armenia | 57.1% | 1.75 | -22.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ararat-Armenia | 57.1% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Sardarapat | 20.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% |
| No | 36.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ararat-Armenia win | 20.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 60.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Ararat-Armenia vs Sardarapat stats
Ararat-Armenia and Sardarapat recent form
| Ararat-Armenia |
DWLWWW |
| Sardarapat |
WW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ararat-Armenia and Sardarapat going into this match
Ararat-Armenia record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sardarapat record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ararat-Armenia vs Sardarapat head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Ararat-Armenia vs Sardarapat odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.8%, draw 21.4%, away 15.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 4.25 | 6.56 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 4.75 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.20 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.15 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.47 | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 4.25 | 6.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.49 | 4.38 | 5.24 |
| SBO | 1.46 | 3.90 | 4.94 |
| Superbet | 1.47 | 4.30 | 5.50 |
| Unibet | 1.36 | 4.35 | 6.25 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .