Armenia Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Sardarapat vs Syunik

3 – 1 Full time

23′G. Abrahamyan
38′A. Galstyan
41′D. BarseghyanE. Soghomonyan
43′H. Minasyan
45′C. Yann Lago
45′J. Brito
46′O. KonateV. Doumbia
54′A. HovhannisyanG. Kalu
58′S. Kochkanyan
61′L. Vardanyan
63′H. MinasyanS. Galstyan
63′G. AbrahamyanF. Seri
64′E. Soghomonyan
65′K. EnningS. Arakelyan
65′G. E. OdinakachiKaique Santos
72′L. Vardanyan
78′L. VardanyanJ. Davtyan
80′S. KochkanyanA. Danielyan
86′M. Silva

Armavir stadium, Armavir

Sardarapat 56%
Draw 24%
Syunik 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sardarapat vs Syunik overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sardarapat vs Syunik

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySardarapatDrawSyunik
Model74.5%16.8%8.7%
Market49.9%26.0%24.2%
Final56.1%23.7%20.3%
Edge+24.6%-9.2%-15.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Sardarapat

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.53 vs 0.78.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 3 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Sardarapat below the model: +24.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sardarapat ↓ / Syunik → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 8% 2 12% 9% 3 10% 8% 4+ 11% 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 4%

Sardarapat and Syunik expected goals

Sardarapat 2.53
Syunik 0.78

Total expected goals: 3.31

Sardarapat and Syunik attack and defence ratings

Sardarapat

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Syunik

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sardarapat vs Syunik: result vs prediction

Sardarapat 3 – 1 Syunik

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Armenia Premier League

Before and after this match

Sardarapat vs Syunik markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sardarapat 56.1% 1.78 +24.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.2% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.6% 1.97 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.7% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Sardarapat win 53.3% 1.88 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sardarapat56.1%
Draw23.7%
Syunik20.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.2%
Under 2.535.8%
Both teams to scoreYes50.6%
No49.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.7%
12 (either side)76.3%
X2 (draw or away)43.9%
Handicap -1Sardarapat win53.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss25.5%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.7%
3-09.8%
2-19.1%

Sardarapat vs Syunik stats

Sardarapat and Syunik recent form

newest first
Sardarapat DWW
Syunik DLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Sardarapat and Syunik going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sardarapat record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Syunik record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sardarapat vs Syunik head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Sardarapat wins 2Draws 0Syunik wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-27SardarapatSyunikCup1-1
2026-07-11SardarapatSyunikFriendlies Clubs1-1
2026-05-17SardarapatSyunikFirst League2-1
2025-11-05SyunikSardarapatFirst League1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sardarapat vs Syunik odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.9%, draw 26.0%, away 24.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.79 3.48 3.92
Bet365 1.83 3.50 3.50
BetVictor 1.80 3.60 3.75
Betano 1.85 3.45 3.55
Betfair 1.75 3.60 3.80
Dafabet 1.86 3.55 3.80
Marathonbet 1.77 3.48 3.84
Superbet 1.87 3.50 3.75
Unibet 1.79 3.35 3.65
William Hill 1.85 3.25 3.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.81 ▲ +0.04
X 3.49 ▼ -0.21
2 3.75 ▼ -0.19

2 snapshots recorded, from .