Armenia Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Pyunik Yerevan
vs
Ararat-Armenia
2 – 1 Full time
| 16′ | D. Kulikov | ||
| 33′ | G. Tarakhchyan | ||
| 56′ | Junior Julio | ||
| 63′ | G. TarakhchyanA. Dashyan | ||
| 63′ | I. PikisS. Metoyan | ||
| 63′ | J. A. BalantaK. Muradyan | ||
| 63′ | A. AmbartsumyanA. Serobyan | ||
| 63′ | A. NdourSandro Lima | ||
| 68′ | M. Kovalenko | ||
| 68′ | Franca Carlos | ||
| 76′ | H. HarutyunyanN. Kenourgios | ||
| 77′ | S. Islamovic | ||
| 79′ | M. CarlierZ. Banjaqui | ||
| 79′ | Franca CarlosBenny | ||
| 88′ | B. Pereira | ||
| 90′ | M. KovalenkoE. Malakyan |
Pyunik Yerevan
45%
Draw
29%
Ararat-Armenia
26%
Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia
| Probability | Pyunik Yerevan | Draw | Ararat-Armenia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.8% | 30.0% | 16.2% |
| Market | 42.0% | 29.1% | 28.9% |
| Final | 45.0% | 29.3% | 25.7% |
| Edge | +11.8% | +0.9% | -12.7% |
Why Pyunik Yerevan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.65.
- The market prices Pyunik Yerevan below the model: +11.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
62%
3+ goals
33%
No goals
14%
Pyunik Yerevan and Ararat-Armenia expected goals
Pyunik Yerevan
1.39
Ararat-Armenia
0.65
Total expected goals: 2.04
Pyunik Yerevan and Ararat-Armenia attack and defence ratings
Pyunik Yerevan
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
0.50 -50%
Ararat-Armenia
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
0.89 -11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia: result vs prediction
Pyunik Yerevan 2 – 1 Ararat-Armenia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyunik Yerevan | 45.0% | 2.22 | +11.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyunik Yerevan | 45.0% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| Ararat-Armenia | 25.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.1% |
| No | 62.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pyunik Yerevan win | 27.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.4% | |
| Loss | 46.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.9% |
| 0-0 | 14.1% | |
| 1-1 | 12.9% |
Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia stats
Pyunik Yerevan and Ararat-Armenia recent form
| Pyunik Yerevan |
WWDDLW |
| Ararat-Armenia |
WDDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pyunik Yerevan and Ararat-Armenia going into this match
Pyunik Yerevan record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Ararat-Armenia record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Pyunik Yerevan wins
1Draws
6Ararat-Armenia wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Ararat-Armenia | Pyunik Yerevan | Armenia Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Pyunik Yerevan | Ararat-Armenia | Armenia Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-25 | Pyunik Yerevan | Ararat-Armenia | Armenia Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-29 | Ararat-Armenia | Pyunik Yerevan | Cup | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-15 | Pyunik Yerevan | Ararat-Armenia | Cup | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-09 | Pyunik Yerevan | Ararat-Armenia | Super Cup | 0-4 |
| 2025-03-28 | Ararat-Armenia | Pyunik Yerevan | Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2025-03-01 | Pyunik Yerevan | Ararat-Armenia | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-03 | Ararat-Armenia | Pyunik Yerevan | Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2024-04-21 | Pyunik Yerevan | Ararat-Armenia | Premier League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.0%, draw 29.1%, away 28.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.10 | 3.23 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.05 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.20 | 3.15 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.10 | 3.16 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14 | 3.15 | 3.25 |
| SBO | 2.05 | 3.01 | 3.04 |
| Superbet | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| Unibet | 2.23 | 3.05 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.15 ▼ -0.08
X
3.10 ▼ -0.12
2
3.13 ▲ +0.18
3 snapshots recorded, from .