Ararat-Armenia
vs
Universitatea Craiova
1 – 0 Full time
Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova
| Probability | Ararat-Armenia | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.2% | 27.5% | 34.3% |
| Market | 27.1% | 28.8% | 44.1% |
| Final | 29.9% | 28.5% | 41.7% |
| Edge | +11.1% | -1.3% | -9.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ararat-Armenia and Universitatea Craiova expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
Ararat-Armenia and Universitatea Craiova attack and defence ratings
Ararat-Armenia
Universitatea Craiova
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova: result vs prediction
Ararat-Armenia 1 – 0 Universitatea Craiova
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universitatea Craiova | 41.7% | 2.40 | -9.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ararat-Armenia | 29.9% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Universitatea Craiova | 41.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% |
| No | 41.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Universitatea Craiova win | 16.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 65.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova stats
Ararat-Armenia and Universitatea Craiova recent form
| Ararat-Armenia |
DDWLWW |
| Universitatea Craiova |
WDDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Universitatea Craiova | Ararat-Armenia | UEFA Europa League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.1%, draw 28.8%, away 44.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.12 |
| 1xBet | 3.66 | 3.24 | 2.22 |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 3.50 | 3.35 | 2.18 |
| Marathonbet | 3.64 | 3.14 | 2.09 |
| Pinnacle | 3.79 | 3.22 | 2.10 |
| SBO | 3.14 | 3.02 | 2.08 |
| Superbet | 3.45 | 3.35 | 2.17 |
| Unibet | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.17 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .