Armenia Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
FC Noah
vs
Ararat
4 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | Helder Ferreira | ||
| 23′ | M. Berte | ||
| 31′ | Helder Ferreira | ||
| 45′ | Ararat | ||
| 45′ | FC Noah | ||
| 45′ | Ararat | ||
| 45′ | G. Manvelyan | ||
| 46′ | B. HovhannisyanO. Chukwu | ||
| 46′ | A. MeiteE. Movsesyan | ||
| 46′ | M. FofanaA. Ouattara | ||
| 55′ | Ararat | ||
| 62′ | V. CostacheZ. Khudaverdyan | ||
| 62′ | G. ManvelyanM. Jakolis | ||
| 64′ | M. KanteA. Grigoryan | ||
| 68′ | Z. Khudaverdyan | ||
| 75′ | S. MuradyanM. Avetisyan | ||
| 75′ | M. LazeticM. Gonzalez | ||
| 75′ | P. AlekyanN. Alaverdyan | ||
| 82′ | Helder FerreiraC. Dombila |
FC Noah
86%
Draw
10%
Ararat
4%
FC Noah vs Ararat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Noah vs Ararat
| Probability | FC Noah | Draw | Ararat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 86.2% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 86.2% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Noah
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.34 vs 0.75.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
92%
3+ goals
77%
No goals
2%
FC Noah and Ararat expected goals
FC Noah
3.34
Ararat
0.75
Total expected goals: 4.09
FC Noah and Ararat attack and defence ratings
FC Noah
Attack
1.53 +53%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Ararat
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
1.51 +51%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Noah vs Ararat: result vs prediction
FC Noah 4 – 0 Ararat
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Noah vs Ararat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Noah | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Noah win | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Noah | 86.2% |
| Draw | 9.7% | |
| Ararat | 4.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% |
| No | 49.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 90.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 13.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Noah win | 69.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.8% | |
| Loss | 14.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 10.5% |
| 2-0 | 9.2% | |
| 4-0 | 8.9% |
FC Noah vs Ararat stats
FC Noah and Ararat recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Noah and Ararat going into this match
FC Noah record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Ararat record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
FC Noah vs Ararat head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
3FC Noah wins
0Draws
0Ararat wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | FC Noah | Ararat | Armenia Premier League | 8-3 |
| 2025-10-27 | Ararat | FC Noah | Armenia Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2025-09-28 | FC Noah | Ararat | Armenia Premier League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.