Ararat
vs
Ararat-Armenia
0 – 1 Full time
| 34′ | Ararat | ||
| 42′ | Ararat-Armenia | ||
| 48′ | Sandro Lima | ||
| 63′ | Ararat | ||
| 86′ | Ararat-Armenia | ||
| 90′ | Ararat-Armenia |
Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia
| Probability | Ararat | Draw | Ararat-Armenia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.5% | 22.6% | 60.9% |
| Market | 9.3% | 18.3% | 72.4% |
| Final | 11.1% | 19.4% | 69.5% |
| Edge | +7.2% | +4.3% | -11.5% |
Why Ararat-Armenia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ararat and Ararat-Armenia expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.04
Ararat and Ararat-Armenia attack and defence ratings
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia: result vs prediction
Ararat 0 – 1 Ararat-Armenia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ararat-Armenia | 69.5% | 1.44 | -11.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ararat | 11.1% |
| Draw | 19.4% | |
| Ararat-Armenia | 69.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 30.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ararat-Armenia win | 38.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 39.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 0-2 | 10.1% | |
| 1-2 | 10.0% |
Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia stats
Ararat and Ararat-Armenia recent form
| Ararat |
LLWLLD |
| Ararat-Armenia |
LWDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ararat and Ararat-Armenia going into this match
Ararat record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Ararat-Armenia record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Ararat-Armenia | Ararat | Armenia Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Ararat | Ararat-Armenia | Armenia Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Ararat-Armenia | Ararat | Armenia Premier League | 4-2 |
| 2025-05-28 | Ararat-Armenia | Ararat | Premier League | 6-0 |
| 2024-11-10 | Ararat | Ararat-Armenia | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-18 | Ararat-Armenia | Ararat | Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2024-04-12 | Ararat-Armenia | Ararat | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2023-12-05 | Ararat | Ararat-Armenia | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2023-09-29 | Ararat-Armenia | Ararat | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2023-07-30 | Ararat | Ararat-Armenia | Premier League | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 9.7%, draw 18.3%, away 72.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 10.70 | 4.95 | 1.24 |
| Bet365 | 8.00 | 4.50 | 1.30 |
| BetVictor | 9.50 | 5.25 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 8.50 | 4.80 | 1.27 |
| Betfair | 10.50 | 5.00 | 1.22 |
| Dafabet | 9.40 | 5.40 | 1.27 |
| Marathonbet | 10.25 | 4.95 | 1.23 |
| Pinnacle | 8.88 | 5.39 | 1.26 |
| Superbet | 8.40 | 5.30 | 1.26 |
| Unibet | 7.50 | 4.40 | 1.30 |
| William Hill | 10.00 | 4.80 | 1.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .