Gandzasar
vs
Ararat
0 – 2 Full time
| 5′ | E. Movsesyan | ||
| 37′ | Ararat | ||
| 64′ | Gandzasar | ||
| 64′ | Ararat | ||
| 86′ | Gandzasar | ||
| 90′ | Ararat | ||
| 90′ | M. Kante |
Gandzasar vs Ararat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gandzasar vs Ararat
| Probability | Gandzasar | Draw | Ararat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.9% | 24.3% | 23.8% |
| Market | 41.8% | 27.3% | 30.9% |
| Final | 44.3% | 26.5% | 29.1% |
| Edge | +10.1% | -3.0% | -7.1% |
Why Gandzasar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.25.
- The market prices Gandzasar below the model: +10.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gandzasar and Ararat expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Gandzasar and Ararat attack and defence ratings
Gandzasar
Ararat
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gandzasar vs Ararat: result vs prediction
Gandzasar 0 – 2 Ararat
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gandzasar vs Ararat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gandzasar | 44.3% | 2.25 | +10.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gandzasar | 44.3% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Ararat | 29.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% |
| No | 38.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gandzasar win | 30.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 48.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.8% |
Gandzasar vs Ararat stats
Gandzasar and Ararat recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gandzasar and Ararat going into this match
Gandzasar record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 73% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ararat record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Gandzasar vs Ararat head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Gandzasar | Ararat | Armenia Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Ararat | Gandzasar | Armenia Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-07 | Gandzasar | Ararat | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-01 | Gandzasar | Ararat | Armenia Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-27 | Ararat | Gandzasar | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-02 | Ararat | Gandzasar | Cup | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-10 | Gandzasar | Ararat | Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2020-10-18 | Ararat | Gandzasar | Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gandzasar vs Ararat odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 27.3%, away 30.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.36 | 2.97 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.20 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.36 | 2.91 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16 | 3.55 | 2.88 |
| SBO | 2.10 | 3.07 | 2.87 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .