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Armenia Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 7

FC Urartu vs FC Noah

0 – 3 Full time

32′Helder Ferreira
41′FC Noah
43′M. Lazetic
49′Helder Ferreira
62′FC Urartu
65′FC Noah

Urartu Stadium, Yerevan

FC Urartu 17%
Draw 23%
FC Noah 60%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC Urartu vs FC Noah overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Urartu vs FC Noah

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC UrartuDrawFC Noah
Model20.1%22.9%57.1%
Market16.4%22.9%60.8%
Final17.3%22.9%59.8%
Edge+3.7%-0.0%-3.7%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Noah

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Urartu ↓ / FC Noah → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 6% 1 10% 10% 7% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

FC Urartu and FC Noah expected goals

FC Urartu 1.17
FC Noah 2.08

Total expected goals: 3.25

FC Urartu and FC Noah attack and defence ratings

FC Urartu

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.03 +3%

FC Noah

Attack 1.73 +73%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Urartu vs FC Noah: result vs prediction

FC Urartu 0 – 3 FC Noah

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Armenia Premier League

Before and after this match

FC Urartu vs FC Noah markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Noah 59.8% 1.67 -3.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.8% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.2% 1.63 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.7% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.6% 2.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Urartu17.3%
Draw22.9%
FC Noah59.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.8%
Under 2.537.2%
Both teams to scoreYes61.2%
No38.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)40.2%
12 (either side)77.1%
X2 (draw or away)82.7%
Handicap -1FC Noah win35.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss42.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
1-29.8%
0-28.4%

FC Urartu vs FC Noah stats

FC Urartu and FC Noah recent form

newest first
FC Urartu LDWWLD
FC Noah WWWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Urartu and FC Noah going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Urartu record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Noah record

  • They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

FC Urartu vs FC Noah head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2FC Urartu wins 4Draws 4FC Noah wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-27FC UrartuFC NoahArmenia Premier League0-5
2026-05-14FC UrartuFC NoahCup2-4
2025-10-18FC NoahFC UrartuArmenia Premier League0-0
2025-10-05FC UrartuFC NoahArmenia Premier League0-0
2025-05-18FC UrartuFC NoahPremier League3-3
2024-11-01FC NoahFC UrartuPremier League2-1
2024-09-29FC UrartuFC NoahPremier League2-1
2024-04-23FC UrartuFC NoahPremier League0-1
2024-02-22FC NoahFC UrartuPremier League1-1
2023-10-21FC UrartuFC NoahPremier League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Urartu vs FC Noah odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 16.4%, draw 22.9%, away 60.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.04 3.84 1.48
Bet365 5.25 4.10 1.48
BetVictor 5.50 4.00 1.50
Betano 5.00 3.95 1.52
Betfair 5.50 4.00 1.47
Marathonbet 5.80 3.84 1.47
Pinnacle 5.26 3.93 1.54
SBO 5.03 3.74 1.47
William Hill 5.50 3.60 1.53

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.50 ▲ +0.96
X 3.93 ▲ +0.41
2 1.48 ▼ -0.18

3 snapshots recorded, from .