Van
vs
BKMA
2 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | M. Asiryan | ||
| 21′ | Van | ||
| 45′ | BKMA | ||
| 51′ | K. Sammani | ||
| 57′ | C. Lweendo | ||
| 75′ | Van | ||
| 89′ | Van |
Van vs BKMA overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Van vs BKMA
| Probability | Van | Draw | BKMA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.2% | 27.0% | 56.8% |
| Market | 27.1% | 25.3% | 47.6% |
| Final | 24.3% | 25.8% | 49.9% |
| Edge | -10.8% | +1.7% | +9.2% |
Why BKMA
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.75.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices BKMA below the model: +9.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Van and BKMA expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
Van and BKMA attack and defence ratings
Van
BKMA
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Van vs BKMA: result vs prediction
Van 2 – 1 BKMA
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Van vs BKMA markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BKMA | 49.9% | 2.00 | +9.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Van | 24.3% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| BKMA | 49.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.6% |
| No | 56.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | BKMA win | 31.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 43.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-1 | 12.5% | |
| 0-2 | 12.2% |
Van vs BKMA stats
Van and BKMA recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Van and BKMA going into this match
Van record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They average 0.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
BKMA record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Van vs BKMA head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Van | BKMA | Armenia Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2026-02-07 | BKMA | Van | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-31 | BKMA | Van | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Van | BKMA | Armenia Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-29 | BKMA | Van | Armenia Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-26 | BKMA | Van | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-22 | Van | BKMA | Premier League | 2-3 |
| 2024-09-13 | BKMA | Van | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-24 | BKMA | Van | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-06 | Van | BKMA | Premier League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Van vs BKMA odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.1%, draw 25.3%, away 47.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.38 | 3.62 | 1.89 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.90 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.90 |
| Marathonbet | 3.32 | 3.62 | 1.87 |
| Pinnacle | 3.35 | 3.77 | 1.89 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.40 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .