Ararat
vs
Syunik
1 – 0 Full time
| 27′ | V. HaroyanN. Alaverdyan | ||
| 64′ | E. MovsesyanS. J. Bakayoko | ||
| 64′ | A. GrigoryanM. Kante | ||
| 72′ | P. PoghikyanD. Barseghyan | ||
| 72′ | O. OkikiA. Galstyan | ||
| 75′ | P. AlekyanA. Ouattara | ||
| 75′ | O. ChukwuB. Hovhannisyan | ||
| 77′ | S. J. Bakayoko | ||
| 79′ | G. KaluS. Sargsyan | ||
| 79′ | E. OdinakachiE. Grigoryan | ||
| 85′ | A. Galstyan | ||
| 90′ | B. Hovhannisyan |
Ararat vs Syunik overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ararat vs Syunik
| Probability | Ararat | Draw | Syunik |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.7% | 28.0% | 22.3% |
| Market | 47.3% | 27.3% | 25.4% |
| Final | 47.9% | 27.5% | 24.6% |
| Edge | +2.3% | +0.7% | -3.0% |
Why Ararat
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ararat below the model: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ararat and Syunik expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
Ararat and Syunik attack and defence ratings
Ararat
Syunik
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ararat vs Syunik: result vs prediction
Ararat 1 – 0 Syunik
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ararat vs Syunik markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ararat | 47.9% | 2.09 | +2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ararat | 47.9% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Syunik | 24.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.8% |
| No | 50.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ararat win | 26.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.4% | |
| 2-0 | 9.7% |
Ararat vs Syunik stats
Ararat and Syunik recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ararat and Syunik going into this match
Ararat record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Syunik record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Ararat vs Syunik head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Ararat vs Syunik odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.3%, draw 27.3%, away 25.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.34 | 3.72 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.34 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.37 | 3.62 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 3.08 | 3.18 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .