Armenia Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Ararat-Armenia
vs
Alashkert
1 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | D. Terteryan | ||
| 10′ | Z. Banjaqui | ||
| 27′ | A. Serobyan | ||
| 33′ | D. J. Massoumou | ||
| 47′ | Cezar | ||
| 50′ | E. Piloyan | ||
| 58′ | A. Serobyan | ||
| 90′ | Ararat-Armenia | ||
| 90′ | A. Sadoyan |
Ararat-Armenia
42%
Draw
27%
Alashkert
31%
Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert
| Probability | Ararat-Armenia | Draw | Alashkert |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.8% | 27.0% | 38.2% |
| Market | 44.2% | 26.9% | 28.9% |
| Final | 41.9% | 26.9% | 31.2% |
| Edge | -2.3% | +0.0% | +2.3% |
Why Ararat-Armenia
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
7%
Ararat-Armenia and Alashkert expected goals
Ararat-Armenia
1.42
Alashkert
1.49
Total expected goals: 2.91
Ararat-Armenia and Alashkert attack and defence ratings
Ararat-Armenia
Attack
1.20 +20%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Alashkert
Attack
1.34 +34%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert: result vs prediction
Ararat-Armenia 1 – 1 Alashkert
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ararat-Armenia | 41.9% | 2.39 | -2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ararat-Armenia | 41.9% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Alashkert | 31.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ararat-Armenia win | 16.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 64.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert stats
Ararat-Armenia and Alashkert recent form
| Ararat-Armenia |
WLWWLW |
| Alashkert |
DDWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ararat-Armenia and Alashkert going into this match
Ararat-Armenia record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Alashkert record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Ararat-Armenia wins
3Draws
2Alashkert wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Ararat-Armenia | Alashkert | Armenia Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Alashkert | Ararat-Armenia | Armenia Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Ararat-Armenia | Alashkert | Armenia Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-22 | Ararat-Armenia | Alashkert | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Ararat-Armenia | Alashkert | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2024-11-27 | Alashkert | Ararat-Armenia | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2024-08-30 | Ararat-Armenia | Alashkert | Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2024-05-26 | Alashkert | Ararat-Armenia | Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2024-04-04 | Ararat-Armenia | Alashkert | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2023-11-30 | Alashkert | Ararat-Armenia | Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.2%, draw 26.9%, away 28.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.35 | 3.14 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 3.35 | 3.06 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01 | 3.63 | 3.14 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.10 |