Gandzasar
vs
Sardarapat
1 – 2 Full time
| 19′ | L. Reis | ||
| 38′ | G. Matevosyan | ||
| 50′ | L. Petrosyan | ||
| 56′ | L. Petrosyan | ||
| 66′ | G. Matinyan | ||
| 82′ | G. Abrahamyan | ||
| 85′ | A. Dabo |
Gandzasar vs Sardarapat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gandzasar vs Sardarapat
| Probability | Gandzasar | Draw | Sardarapat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.7% | 23.5% | 52.7% |
| Market | 31.9% | 26.0% | 42.2% |
| Final | 29.8% | 25.4% | 44.8% |
| Edge | -2.0% | -0.6% | +2.6% |
Why Sardarapat
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.31.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sardarapat below our published probability: +2.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gandzasar and Sardarapat expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.29
Gandzasar and Sardarapat attack and defence ratings
Gandzasar
Sardarapat
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gandzasar vs Sardarapat: result vs prediction
Gandzasar 1 – 2 Sardarapat
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gandzasar vs Sardarapat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sardarapat | 44.8% | 2.23 | +2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gandzasar | 29.8% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Sardarapat | 44.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% |
| No | 36.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sardarapat win | 31.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 47.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-2 | 7.4% |
Gandzasar vs Sardarapat stats
Gandzasar and Sardarapat recent form
| Gandzasar |
LLLLLL |
| Sardarapat |
LDDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gandzasar and Sardarapat going into this match
Gandzasar record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 9 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sardarapat record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
Gandzasar vs Sardarapat head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | Sardarapat | Gandzasar | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gandzasar vs Sardarapat odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.9%, draw 26.0%, away 42.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.82 | 3.46 | 2.15 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.45 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.00 | 3.65 | 2.13 |
| Marathonbet | 2.75 | 3.46 | 2.13 |
| Pinnacle | 2.82 | 3.68 | 2.15 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .