Sardarapat
vs
FC Urartu
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Urartu
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Sardarapat vs FC Urartu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sardarapat vs FC Urartu
| Probability | Sardarapat | Draw | FC Urartu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.1% | 23.2% | 40.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.1% | 23.2% | 40.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Urartu
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Sardarapat vs FC Urartu match preview
Sardarapat is set to face FC Urartu in the Armenia Premier League, with kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Sardarapat has a 36% probability of winning, while FC Urartu stands at 41%. The likelihood of a draw is estimated at 23%. The most probable scoreline is 1-2, occurring with an 8% chance.
Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring matches, with our model projecting over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score also at 72%. Expected goals for Sardarapat are 1.80, slightly lower than FC Urartu's 1.91. Recent form indicates Sardarapat's struggles with a record of W-L-D-D-L-L, while FC Urartu has a more favorable W-D-W-L-L-D.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sardarapat and FC Urartu expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.71
Sardarapat and FC Urartu attack and defence ratings
Sardarapat
FC Urartu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sardarapat vs FC Urartu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Urartu | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.3% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sardarapat | 36.1% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| FC Urartu | 40.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% |
| No | 28.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Urartu win | 22.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 59.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
Sardarapat vs FC Urartu stats
Sardarapat and FC Urartu recent form
| Sardarapat |
WLDDLL |
| FC Urartu |
WDWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sardarapat and FC Urartu season so far
Sardarapat record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
FC Urartu record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.