Pyunik Yerevan
vs
FC Urartu
Garuda Lions Prediction: Pyunik Yerevan
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 0.87.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu
| Probability | Pyunik Yerevan | Draw | FC Urartu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.1% | 19.4% | 11.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 69.1% | 19.4% | 11.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Pyunik Yerevan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu match preview
Pyunik Yerevan is favored to win against FC Urartu with a 65% probability, reflecting their stronger recent form, which includes three wins in their last six matches. The expected goals for Pyunik Yerevan stand at 2.22, compared to FC Urartu's 0.95, indicating a significant disparity in offensive output.
The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, occurring with a 10% probability. Additionally, there is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams have a 56% likelihood of scoring. Recent head-to-head results show an even split, with each team having one win and two draws in their last four encounters, suggesting a competitive matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pyunik Yerevan and FC Urartu expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.18
Pyunik Yerevan and FC Urartu attack and defence ratings
Pyunik Yerevan
FC Urartu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyunik Yerevan | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Pyunik Yerevan win | 46.8% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyunik Yerevan | 69.1% |
| Draw | 19.4% | |
| FC Urartu | 11.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pyunik Yerevan win | 46.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 30.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-1 | 9.1% |
Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu stats
Pyunik Yerevan and FC Urartu recent form
| Pyunik Yerevan |
WDWDWW |
| FC Urartu |
DWDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pyunik Yerevan and FC Urartu season so far
Pyunik Yerevan record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Urartu record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | FC Urartu | Pyunik Yerevan | Armenia Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2026-04-23 | Pyunik Yerevan | FC Urartu | Armenia Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-21 | FC Urartu | Pyunik Yerevan | Armenia Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-29 | Pyunik Yerevan | FC Urartu | Armenia Premier League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.