Shirak
vs
BKMA
Garuda Lions Prediction: Shirak
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.86.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Shirak vs BKMA overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shirak vs BKMA
| Probability | Shirak | Draw | BKMA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.7% | 31.0% | 23.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.7% | 31.0% | 23.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Shirak
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.86.
Shirak vs BKMA match preview
Shirak and BKMA are set to clash in the Armenia Premier League, with Shirak holding a 49% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, with a 13% likelihood. Shirak's recent form shows two wins and four matches without a victory, while BKMA has managed two wins in their last six games.
In terms of expected goals, Shirak is forecasted to score 1.46, while BKMA is expected to net 0.90. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 42%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 47%. Historically, in their last four encounters, Shirak has not secured a win, with three matches ending in draws and BKMA winning once.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shirak and BKMA expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.16
Shirak and BKMA attack and defence ratings
Shirak
BKMA
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shirak vs BKMA markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shirak | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shirak | 45.7% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| BKMA | 23.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.2% |
| No | 56.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shirak win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 54.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 13.7% | |
| 0-0 | 12.8% |
Shirak vs BKMA stats
Shirak and BKMA recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shirak and BKMA season so far
Shirak record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
BKMA record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shirak vs BKMA head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | BKMA | Shirak | Armenia Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Shirak | BKMA | Armenia Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-12 | BKMA | Shirak | Armenia Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-16 | BKMA | Shirak | Armenia Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.