Armenia Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 11

Syunik vs BKMA

Garuda Lions Prediction: Syunik

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” Syunik is the favourite, not a value bet.

Sisian City Stadium

Syunik 40%
Draw 28%
BKMA 32%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Syunik wins
40%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
90%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
51%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
9% of simulated outcomes

Syunik vs BKMA overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Syunik vs BKMA

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySyunikDrawBKMA
Model34.8%29.8%35.4%
Market41.6%27.4%31.0%
Final39.9%28.0%32.1%
Edge-1.7%+0.6%+1.1%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 2.23, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.1% per unit staked (our 39.9% Γ— 2.23 βˆ’ 1).

Syunik vs BKMA match preview

Syunik faces BKMA in the Armenia Premier League with a forecasted probability of 40% for a Syunik win, 28% for a draw, and 32% for a BKMA victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of Syunik, with an expected goals tally of 1.22 for Syunik and 1.24 for BKMA.

In terms of recent form, Syunik has struggled, recording one win in their last six matches, while BKMA has shown improvement with two wins in their last three. The head-to-head record favors BKMA, who won the last encounter. The model indicates a 51% chance for both teams to score, suggesting a competitive match ahead.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Syunik ↓ / BKMA β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Syunik and BKMA expected goals

Syunik 1.22
BKMA 1.24

Total expected goals: 2.46

Syunik and BKMA attack and defence ratings

Syunik

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 1.41 +41%

BKMA

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Armenia Premier League

Before and after this match

Syunik vs BKMA markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Syunik 39.9% 2.51 -1.7% 2.23
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.4% 1.81 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 51.4% 1.95 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.0% 1.39 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 65.2% 1.53 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Syunik39.9%
Draw28.0%
BKMA32.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.6%
Under 2.555.4%
Both teams to scoreYes51.4%
No48.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.9%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)60.1%
Handicap -1Syunik win15.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss65.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-09.8%
0-19.3%

Syunik vs BKMA stats

Syunik and BKMA recent form

newest first
Syunik LWLLDL
BKMA LLDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Syunik and BKMA season so far

league record

Syunik record

  • They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.

BKMA record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Syunik vs BKMA head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Syunik wins 0Draws 1BKMA wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-11-26SyunikBKMACup0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Syunik vs BKMA odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 27.4%, away 31.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.17 3.28 2.91
Bet365 2.15 3.40 2.80
BetVictor 2.20 3.30 2.90
Betano 2.18 3.20 2.95
Betfair 2.15 3.40 2.88
Dafabet 2.23 3.35 3.00
Marathonbet 2.15 3.28 2.84
Pinnacle 2.17 3.31 3.04
SBO 2.11 3.10 2.81
William Hill 2.20 3.10 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.17 β–Ό -0.05
X 3.29 β–² +0.01
2 2.91 β–² +0.07

3 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Syunik Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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