Paris FC
vs
Lyon
0 – 0 Full time
| 63′ | Loïs Openda | ||
| 69′ | Diego Coppola | ||
| 75′ | Loïs OpendaKeito Nakamura | ||
| 77′ | Hamari Traore | ||
| 79′ | Pablo PagisMoses Simon | ||
| 79′ | Luca KoleoshoRudy Matondo | ||
| 87′ | Ilan KebbalJonathan Ikoné | ||
| 87′ | Mads BidstrupTanner Tessmann | ||
| 87′ | Ernest NuamahKail Boudache |
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 534 | Accurate passes | 392 |
Paris FC vs Lyon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Paris FC vs Lyon
| Probability | Paris FC | Draw | Lyon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.1% | 21.0% | 22.9% |
| Market | 37.5% | 25.8% | 36.7% |
| Final | 42.1% | 24.6% | 33.3% |
| Edge | +18.7% | -4.8% | -13.9% |
Why Paris FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 1.33.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Paris FC below the model: +18.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Paris FC and Lyon expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.60
Paris FC and Lyon attack and defence ratings
Paris FC
Lyon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Paris FC vs Lyon: result vs prediction
Paris FC 0 – 0 Lyon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Paris FC vs Lyon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Paris FC | 42.1% | 2.37 | +18.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Paris FC | 42.1% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Lyon | 33.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.2% |
| No | 34.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Paris FC win | 34.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 43.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.5% |
| 1-1 | 9.0% | |
| 2-0 | 7.1% |
Paris FC vs Lyon stats
Paris FC vs Lyon head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Lyon | Paris FC | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Paris FC | Lyon | Ligue 1 | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Paris FC vs Lyon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.9%, draw 26.2%, away 36.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.60 | 3.55 | 2.48 |
| 1xBet | 2.63 | 3.82 | 2.67 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.70 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.75 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.55 | 3.70 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.55 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.59 | 3.76 | 2.63 |
| Pinnacle | 2.60 | 3.75 | 2.65 |
| SBO | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.53 |
| Unibet | 2.60 | 3.35 | 2.60 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| winamax_de | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
28 snapshots recorded, from .