Paris FC
vs
Strasbourg
2 – 1 Full time
| 18′ | Ilan Kebbal | ||
| 40′ | Maxime López | ||
| 54′ | Hamari TraoreThibault De Smet | ||
| 57′ | Pablo Pagis | ||
| 58′ | Jacobo OrtegaConrad Harder | ||
| 63′ | Diogo Sousa | ||
| 67′ | Gessime Yassine | ||
| 67′ | Giovanni ReynaDario Essugo | ||
| 67′ | Samir El-MourabetPape Demba Diop | ||
| 67′ | Sebastian NanasiSamuel Amo-Ameyaw | ||
| 68′ | Pablo PagisJonathan Ikoné | ||
| 68′ | Ilan KebbalRudy Matondo | ||
| 86′ | Maxime LópezVincent Marchetti | ||
| 87′ | Lassine SinayokoPatrick Zabi | ||
| 87′ | Gessime YassineYaya Dieme | ||
| 88′ | Moustapha Mbow | ||
| 90′ | Thibault De Smet | ||
| 90′ | Luca Koleosho |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 501 | Accurate passes | 467 |
Paris FC vs Strasbourg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Paris FC vs Strasbourg
| Probability | Paris FC | Draw | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.9% | 17.9% | 14.2% |
| Market | 48.6% | 25.5% | 25.9% |
| Final | 53.4% | 23.6% | 22.9% |
| Edge | +19.4% | -7.6% | -11.7% |
Why Paris FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.57 vs 1.04.
- The market prices Paris FC below the model: +19.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Paris FC and Strasbourg expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.60
Paris FC and Strasbourg attack and defence ratings
Paris FC
Strasbourg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Paris FC vs Strasbourg: result vs prediction
Paris FC 2 – 1 Strasbourg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Paris FC vs Strasbourg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Paris FC | 53.4% | 1.87 | +19.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Paris FC win | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Paris FC | 53.4% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Strasbourg | 22.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.2% |
| No | 40.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Paris FC win | 46.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 32.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.5% |
| 2-0 | 9.2% | |
| 1-1 | 8.0% |
Paris FC vs Strasbourg stats
Paris FC and Strasbourg recent form
| Paris FC |
DWWDWL |
| Strasbourg |
DWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Paris FC vs Strasbourg head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Strasbourg | Paris FC | Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Paris FC | Strasbourg | Ligue 1 | 2-3 |
| 2015-01-30 | Strasbourg | Paris FC | Ligue 3 | 2-1 |
| 2014-08-22 | Paris FC | Strasbourg | Ligue 3 | 1-1 |
| 2014-03-01 | Strasbourg | Paris FC | Ligue 3 | 0-2 |
| 2013-09-13 | Paris FC | Strasbourg | Ligue 3 | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Paris FC vs Strasbourg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.4%, draw 25.5%, away 26.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.82 | 3.82 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.85 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.98 | 3.72 | 3.72 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.77 | 3.81 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.28 | 3.04 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| winamax_de | 2.15 | 3.55 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
26 snapshots recorded, from .