Lorient
vs
Paris FC
1 – 0 Full time
| 52′ | Lassine Sinayoko | ||
| 58′ | Samir Chergui | ||
| 58′ | Hamari Traore | ||
| 65′ | Adama CamaraRudy Matondo | ||
| 65′ | Ilan KebbalPatrick Zabi | ||
| 66′ | Samir CherguiOtavio | ||
| 66′ | Mamadou KoneIbrahima Balde | ||
| 66′ | Isak JensenGabin Bernardeau | ||
| 68′ | Gabin Bernardeau | ||
| 70′ | Montassar Talbi | ||
| 74′ | Patrick Zabi | ||
| 78′ | Pierre Lees MelouOmar Sissoko | ||
| 78′ | Alec GeorgenArthur Avom | ||
| 86′ | Lassine SinayokoJean-Philippe Krasso | ||
| 87′ | Isaak TouréNosa Edward Obaretin | ||
| 90′ | Maxime López | ||
| 90′ | A. Dujeux |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 401 | Accurate passes | 632 |
Lorient vs Paris FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lorient vs Paris FC
| Probability | Lorient | Draw | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.4% | 25.8% | 47.8% |
| Market | 26.7% | 28.0% | 45.3% |
| Final | 26.6% | 27.4% | 45.9% |
| Edge | -0.1% | -0.6% | +0.6% |
Why Paris FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lorient and Paris FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Lorient and Paris FC attack and defence ratings
Lorient
Paris FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lorient vs Paris FC: result vs prediction
Lorient 1 – 0 Paris FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lorient vs Paris FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Paris FC | 45.9% | 2.18 | +0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lorient | 26.6% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Paris FC | 45.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Paris FC win | 24.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 52.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 0-1 | 10.6% | |
| 1-2 | 9.4% |
Lorient vs Paris FC stats
Lorient and Paris FC recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lorient and Paris FC going into this match
Lorient record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Paris FC record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Lorient vs Paris FC head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Lorient | Paris FC | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-04 | Lorient | Paris FC | Coupe de France | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Paris FC | Lorient | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Paris FC | Lorient | Ligue 2 | 3-2 |
| 2024-12-14 | Lorient | Paris FC | Ligue 2 | 2-0 |
| 2021-02-09 | Lorient | Paris FC | Coupe de France | 2-1 |
| 2019-07-29 | Lorient | Paris FC | Ligue 2 | 3-0 |
| 2019-04-15 | Paris FC | Lorient | Ligue 2 | 2-2 |
| 2018-11-09 | Lorient | Paris FC | Ligue 2 | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lorient vs Paris FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.7%, draw 28.0%, away 45.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.68 | 3.47 | 2.20 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.60 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.70 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.55 | 3.45 | 2.12 |
| Marathonbet | 3.58 | 3.38 | 2.14 |
| Pinnacle | 3.80 | 3.40 | 2.12 |
| SBO | 3.35 | 3.28 | 2.06 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
48 snapshots recorded, from .