Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 6

Nice vs Strasbourg

2 – 1 Full time

37′Djibril CoulibalyHicham Boudaoui
41′Dario Essugo
45′Pape Demba Diop
47′Joaquín Martínez Gauna
63′Conrad HarderJacobo Ortega
63′Diogo SousaGiovanni Reyna
73′Dario EssugoSamir El-Mourabet
73′Samuel Amo-AmeyawFábio Baldé
73′Sepe Elye WahiSofiane Diop
75′Sofiane Diop
76′Jeyland MitchellLucas Høgsberg
81′Jonathan Clauss
86′Axel WitselEverton Pereira
86′Gauthier HeinIsak Jansson

Allianz Riviera, NiceReferee: Jeremie Pignard

Nice 41%
Draw 26%
Strasbourg 33%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
45 Possession % 55
2 Corners 3
3 Fouls 8
5 Offsides 2
2 Saves 4
396 Accurate passes 490

Nice vs Strasbourg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nice vs Strasbourg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNiceDrawStrasbourg
Model40.8%24.9%34.3%
Market40.8%26.1%33.1%
Final40.8%25.8%33.4%
Edge-0.0%-0.3%+0.3%

Confidence: High · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Nice ↓ / Strasbourg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 12% 8% 2 6% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 5%

Nice and Strasbourg expected goals

Nice 1.63
Strasbourg 1.41

Total expected goals: 3.04

Nice and Strasbourg attack and defence ratings

Nice

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Strasbourg

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Nice vs Strasbourg: result vs prediction

Nice 2 – 1 Strasbourg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Nice vs Strasbourg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nice 40.8% 2.45 -0.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.9% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.9% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.3% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Nice40.8%
Draw25.8%
Strasbourg33.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.9%
Under 2.543.1%
Both teams to scoreYes59.9%
No40.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.6%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)59.2%
Handicap -1Nice win20.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss59.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
2-18.8%
1-28.0%

Nice vs Strasbourg stats

Nice and Strasbourg recent form

newest first
Nice WLDLDL
Strasbourg LDWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Nice and Strasbourg going into this match

league record before kick-off

Nice record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Strasbourg record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

Nice vs Strasbourg head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Nice wins 4Draws 2Strasbourg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-22StrasbourgNiceCoupe de France0-2
2026-04-04StrasbourgNiceLigue 13-1
2026-01-03NiceStrasbourgLigue 11-1
2025-04-12StrasbourgNiceLigue 12-2
2024-11-24NiceStrasbourgLigue 12-1
2024-04-28StrasbourgNiceLigue 11-3
2023-09-03NiceStrasbourgLigue 12-0
2023-05-13StrasbourgNiceLigue 12-0
2022-08-14NiceStrasbourgLigue 11-1
2022-02-26StrasbourgNiceLigue 10-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Nice vs Strasbourg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.8%, draw 26.1%, away 33.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.41 3.80 2.96
Bet365 2.30 3.60 2.90
BetVictor 2.30 3.70 2.80
Betano 2.40 3.60 2.82
Betfair 2.30 3.80 2.88
Dafabet 2.38 3.65 2.90
Marathonbet 2.35 3.70 2.88
Pinnacle 2.37 3.66 2.96
SBO 2.32 3.48 2.68
William Hill 2.25 3.40 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.33 ▲ +0.11
X 3.66 ▲ +0.10
2 2.88 ▼ -0.26

47 snapshots recorded, from .