Nice
vs
Strasbourg
Garuda Lions Prediction: Nice
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Nice vs Strasbourg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nice vs Strasbourg
| Probability | Nice | Draw | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.3% | 24.9% | 34.7% |
| Market | 41.1% | 26.5% | 32.5% |
| Final | 40.9% | 26.1% | 33.0% |
| Edge | -0.7% | -1.5% | +2.3% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.39, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Nice vs Strasbourg match preview
Nice will face Strasbourg in their upcoming Ligue 1 match, with model probabilities indicating a 41% chance of a Nice victory, a 26% likelihood of a draw, and a 33% chance for Strasbourg to win. The expected goals suggest Nice is projected to score 1.63 while Strasbourg is anticipated to net 1.42. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Nice, occurring with a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, Nice has recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches, while Strasbourg has achieved three wins, two draws, and one loss in the same timeframe. Historically, in their last seven encounters, Nice has secured four wins, with Strasbourg winning once and two matches ending in draws. The probabilities indicate a strong confidence in the outcome of this match.
Nice and Strasbourg team news
Nice news
- A. Mendy — knee injury
- L. Abergel — knee injury
- M. Bombito — leg injury
Strasbourg news
- I. Doukoure — inactive
- J. Panichelli — knee injury
- M. Godo — muscle injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nice and Strasbourg expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.05
Nice and Strasbourg attack and defence ratings
Nice
Strasbourg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nice vs Strasbourg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nice | 40.9% | 2.45 | -0.7% | 2.39 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nice | 40.9% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Strasbourg | 33.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% |
| No | 39.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nice win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 59.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Nice vs Strasbourg stats
Nice and Strasbourg recent form
| Nice |
WLDLDL |
| Strasbourg |
LDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nice vs Strasbourg head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Strasbourg | Nice | Coupe de France | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-04 | Strasbourg | Nice | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2026-01-03 | Nice | Strasbourg | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Strasbourg | Nice | Ligue 1 | 2-2 |
| 2024-11-24 | Nice | Strasbourg | Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-28 | Strasbourg | Nice | Ligue 1 | 1-3 |
| 2023-09-03 | Nice | Strasbourg | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nice vs Strasbourg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 26.5%, away 32.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.36 | 3.75 | 3.07 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.80 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.65 | 2.99 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39 | 3.68 | 2.92 |
| SBO | 2.32 | 3.18 | 2.59 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
44 snapshots recorded, from .