Rennes
vs
Auxerre
4 – 1 Full time
| 15′ | Esteban Lepaul | ||
| 25′ | Cameron Archer | ||
| 50′ | Anthony Rouault | ||
| 53′ | Adrien Thomasson | ||
| 59′ | Adrien Thomasson | ||
| 59′ | Esteban Lepaul | ||
| 67′ | Adrien ThomassonDjaoui Cissé | ||
| 67′ | Mousa Al-TamariEliezer Mayenda | ||
| 77′ | Clément AkpaElikya Legros | ||
| 77′ | Danny NamasoRemy Labeau Lascary | ||
| 77′ | Naouirou AhamadaPierre Ekwah | ||
| 77′ | Esteban LepaulBoulaye Dia | ||
| 77′ | Issa SoumaréLudovic Blas | ||
| 82′ | Arthur PiedfortAristide Zossou | ||
| 85′ | Mahamadou NagidaPrzemysław Frankowski | ||
| 87′ | Romain FaivreYoussef Khoudda | ||
| 90′ | Djaoui Cissé | ||
| 90′ | Boulaye Dia | ||
| 90′ | Boulaye Dia |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 12 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 4 |
| 4 | Saves | 6 |
| 459 | Accurate passes | 293 |
Rennes vs Auxerre overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rennes vs Auxerre
| Probability | Rennes | Draw | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.8% | 21.5% | 25.7% |
| Market | 66.8% | 19.2% | 14.0% |
| Final | 63.3% | 19.8% | 16.9% |
| Edge | -3.5% | +0.6% | +2.9% |
Why Rennes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 1.43.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rennes and Auxerre expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.70
Rennes and Auxerre attack and defence ratings
Rennes
Auxerre
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rennes vs Auxerre: result vs prediction
Rennes 4 – 1 Auxerre
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rennes vs Auxerre markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rennes | 63.3% | 1.58 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rennes | 63.3% |
| Draw | 19.8% | |
| Auxerre | 16.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.5% |
| No | 33.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rennes win | 32.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 46.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 9.1% | |
| 2-2 | 6.6% |
Rennes vs Auxerre stats
Rennes and Auxerre recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rennes and Auxerre going into this match
Rennes record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Auxerre record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Rennes vs Auxerre head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Auxerre | Rennes | Ligue 1 | 0-3 |
| 2025-10-19 | Rennes | Auxerre | Ligue 1 | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-06 | Rennes | Auxerre | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-03 | Auxerre | Rennes | Ligue 1 | 4-0 |
| 2023-03-11 | Auxerre | Rennes | Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-11 | Rennes | Auxerre | Ligue 1 | 5-0 |
| 2014-02-12 | Auxerre | Rennes | Coupe de France | 0-1 |
| 2012-03-11 | Rennes | Auxerre | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2011-10-23 | Auxerre | Rennes | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2011-04-02 | Rennes | Auxerre | Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rennes vs Auxerre odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.8%, draw 19.2%, away 14.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 5.14 | 6.88 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.45 | 5.10 | 7.00 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.45 | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 5.00 | 6.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43 | 5.08 | 6.91 |
| SBO | 1.41 | 4.64 | 6.18 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
49 snapshots recorded, from .