Garuda Lions
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UEFA Europa League · Full time ·League Stage - 2

Rennes vs OFI

2 – 1 Full time

10′Taxiarchis Fountas
41′Krešimir Krizmanić
45′Taxiarchis FountasGiannis Apostolakis
59′Lorenzo Dickmann
67′Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal
67′Ludovic BlasEliezer Mayenda
67′Valentin RongierBoulaye Dia
67′Andreas BouchalakisZisis Karachalios
68′Kenan KodroAitor Cantalapiedra
76′Mahamadou Nagida
77′Sebastian SzymańskiDjaoui Cissé
77′Przemysław FrankowskiBryan Reynolds
77′Mousa Al-TamariIssa Soumaré
78′Mahdi Camara
80′Thiago NussGiannis Theodosoulakis
83′Lorenzo DickmannBorja González
90′Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal
90′Brice Samba

Roazhon Park, RennesReferee: Andrea Colombo

Rennes 69%
Draw 17%
OFI 15%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

25 Shots 2
9 Shots on target 1
67 Possession % 33
13 Corners 3
13 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 2
0 Saves 7
476 Accurate passes 179

Rennes vs OFI overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rennes vs OFI

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRennesDrawOFI
Model37.6%25.4%37.0%
Market79.0%13.7%7.4%
Final68.6%16.6%14.8%
Edge-10.4%+2.9%+7.4%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rennes ↓ / OFI → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Rennes and OFI expected goals

Rennes 1.59
OFI 1.63

Total expected goals: 3.22

Rennes and OFI attack and defence ratings

Rennes

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 1.26 +26%

OFI

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rennes vs OFI: result vs prediction

Rennes 2 – 1 OFI

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

UEFA Europa League

Before and after this match

Rennes vs OFI markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rennes 68.6% 1.46 -10.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.5% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.1% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.2% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.4% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rennes68.6%
Draw16.6%
OFI14.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.5%
Under 2.537.5%
Both teams to scoreYes65.1%
No34.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.2%
12 (either side)83.4%
X2 (draw or away)31.4%
Handicap -1Rennes win18.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.0%
Loss63.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.4%
2-18.4%
1-28.3%

Rennes vs OFI stats

Rennes and OFI recent form

newest first
Rennes WLDWWW
OFI LDWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rennes vs OFI head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Rennes vs OFI odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 79.0%, draw 13.7%, away 7.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.23 7.05 13.40
Bet365 1.22 6.50 13.00
BetVictor 1.18 7.00 13.00
Betano 1.24 7.00 13.00
Betfair 1.18 7.00 13.00
Dafabet 1.22 7.20 12.00
Marathonbet 1.21 6.95 13.25
Pinnacle 1.21 7.60 12.96
SBO 1.21 6.38 10.60
William Hill 1.20 6.50 11.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.21 ▼ -0.04
X 7.00 ▲ +1.22
2 13.00 ▲ +2.80

14 snapshots recorded, from .