Rennes
vs
OFI
Garuda Lions Prediction: Rennes
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 7% model probability
Rennes vs OFI overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rennes vs OFI
| Probability | Rennes | Draw | OFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.6% | 24.9% | 49.5% |
| Market | 74.7% | 16.2% | 9.2% |
| Final | 62.4% | 18.3% | 19.2% |
| Edge | -49.1% | +8.7% | +40.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.29, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Rennes vs OFI match preview
Rennes enters the match against OFI with a probability of winning set at 62%, while OFI stands at 19%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of Rennes, with a 7% likelihood. The model suggests a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance that both teams will score.
In terms of expected goals, Rennes is projected to score 1.28, while OFI has a higher expectation at 1.84. Recent form shows Rennes with a record of L-D-W-W-W-D, and OFI is slightly more consistent with D-W-W-W-W-D. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is B, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rennes and OFI expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.12
Rennes and OFI attack and defence ratings
Rennes
OFI
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Rennes vs OFI markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rennes | 62.4% | 1.60 | -49.1% | 1.29 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% | 1.62 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 81.7% | 1.22 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.4% | 1.34 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rennes | 62.4% |
| Draw | 18.3% | |
| OFI | 19.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% |
| No | 38.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rennes win | 11.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.5% | |
| Loss | 74.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-2 | 7.5% |
Rennes vs OFI stats
Rennes vs OFI head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Rennes vs OFI odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 74.7%, draw 16.2%, away 9.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.29 | 6.08 | 11.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 5.50 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 5.75 | 10.50 |
| Betano | 1.29 | 5.80 | 9.75 |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 5.50 | 11.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.27 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.27 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25 | 6.16 | 10.40 |
| SBO | 1.24 | 4.94 | 7.53 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.50 | 9.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .