AEK Athens FC
vs
OFI
Garuda Lions Prediction: AEK Athens FC
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
AEK Athens FC vs OFI overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AEK Athens FC vs OFI
| Probability | AEK Athens FC | Draw | OFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.5% | 24.4% | 15.1% |
| Market | 76.1% | 15.6% | 8.3% |
| Final | 72.2% | 17.8% | 10.0% |
| Edge | -15.5% | +8.8% | +6.8% |
Why AEK Athens FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
AEK Athens FC vs OFI match preview
AEK Athens FC enters the match against OFI with a strong probability of winning at 72%, while OFI has a mere 10% chance of securing a victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-0 in favor of AEK Athens, with an expected goals metric showing AEK at 1.84 and OFI at 0.82. Recent form highlights AEK's dominance, having won their last six matches, compared to OFI's mixed results of four wins and two draws in their last six outings.
Historically, AEK Athens has had the upper hand in their last four encounters with OFI, winning three times and losing once. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is assessed at 50%, and both teams scoring is slightly less probable at 48%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AEK Athens FC and OFI expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
AEK Athens FC and OFI attack and defence ratings
AEK Athens FC
OFI
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
AEK Athens FC vs OFI markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEK Athens FC | 72.2% | 1.39 | -15.5% | 1.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEK Athens FC | 72.2% |
| Draw | 17.8% | |
| OFI | 10.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.1% |
| No | 51.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | AEK Athens FC win | 36.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 39.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 1-1 | 11.6% |
AEK Athens FC vs OFI stats
AEK Athens FC and OFI recent form
| AEK Athens FC |
WWDWWW |
| OFI |
DWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AEK Athens FC and OFI season so far
AEK Athens FC record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
OFI record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
AEK Athens FC vs OFI head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | AEK Athens FC | OFI | Super Cup | 2-2 |
| 2026-01-14 | AEK Athens FC | OFI | Greece Cup | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-21 | AEK Athens FC | OFI | Super League 1 | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-03 | AEK Athens FC | OFI | Greece Cup | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | OFI | AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2024-12-08 | OFI | AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-18 | AEK Athens FC | OFI | Super League 1 | 3-0 |
| 2024-01-28 | AEK Athens FC | OFI | Super League 1 | 3-0 |
| 2023-10-02 | OFI | AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
| 2023-03-05 | OFI | AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AEK Athens FC vs OFI odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 76.1%, draw 15.6%, away 8.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.23 | 6.05 | 11.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 5.75 | 12.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 5.75 | 11.50 |
| Betano | 1.25 | 5.90 | 12.50 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.25 | 6.40 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 6.05 | 11.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23 | 6.27 | 10.53 |
| SBO | 1.20 | 5.32 | 8.30 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.80 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
42 snapshots recorded, from .