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Super League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 6

AEK Athens FC vs OFI

3 – 0 Full time

24′C. Kontis
34′Llazaros Rota
34′Taxiarchis Fountas
36′Aitor Cantalapiedra
41′Filipe do Bem Relvas Vitó Oliveira
62′Kaan KairinenAmbrósini António Cabaça Salvador
66′Aitor Cantalapiedra
67′Dereck KutesaJoão Mário
71′Taxiarchis FountasThiago Nuss
72′Andreas BouchalakisGiannis Apostolakis
78′Kenan KodroAnastasios Chatzigiovanis
79′Konstantinos KostoulasBorja González
83′Harold Moukoudi
86′Lovro Majer
87′Llazaros RotaMartin Georgiev
88′Luka JovicMijat Gaćinović
88′Lovro MajerMilan Vitális
90′Athanasios AndroutsosZisis Karachalios
90′Mijat Gaćinović

Allwyn Arena, Nea FiladelfeiaReferee: Georgios Kokkinos

AEK Athens FC 71%
Draw 19%
OFI 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 0
57 Possession % 43
9 Corners 4
16 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 0
0 Saves 4
491 Accurate passes 358

AEK Athens FC vs OFI overview

Garuda Lions analysis: AEK Athens FC vs OFI

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAEK Athens FCDrawOFI
Model60.5%24.4%15.1%
Market74.0%16.7%9.3%
Final70.6%18.6%10.8%
Edge-3.4%+1.9%+1.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why AEK Athens FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 0.82.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

AEK Athens FC ↓ / OFI → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 12% 2 12% 10% 3 7% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

AEK Athens FC and OFI expected goals

AEK Athens FC 1.84
OFI 0.82

Total expected goals: 2.66

AEK Athens FC and OFI attack and defence ratings

AEK Athens FC

Attack 1.82 +82%
Defence 0.56 -44%

OFI

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

AEK Athens FC vs OFI: result vs prediction

AEK Athens FC 3 – 0 OFI

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Super League 1

Before and after this match

AEK Athens FC vs OFI markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 AEK Athens FC 70.6% 1.42 -3.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.4% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score No 51.9% 1.93 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.2% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.5% 2.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2AEK Athens FC70.6%
Draw18.6%
OFI10.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.6%
Under 2.550.4%
Both teams to scoreYes48.1%
No51.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.2%
12 (either side)81.4%
X2 (draw or away)29.4%
Handicap -1AEK Athens FC win36.2%
Push (exactly one goal)24.3%
Loss39.5%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.9%
1-011.8%
1-111.6%

AEK Athens FC vs OFI stats

AEK Athens FC and OFI recent form

newest first
AEK Athens FC WWDWWW
OFI DWWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

AEK Athens FC and OFI going into this match

league record before kick-off

AEK Athens FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.

OFI record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

AEK Athens FC vs OFI head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7AEK Athens FC wins 1Draws 2OFI wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-12AEK Athens FCOFISuper Cup2-2
2026-01-14AEK Athens FCOFIGreece Cup0-1
2025-12-21AEK Athens FCOFISuper League 12-1
2025-12-03AEK Athens FCOFIGreece Cup2-0
2025-11-09OFIAEK Athens FCSuper League 10-1
2024-12-08OFIAEK Athens FCSuper League 11-2
2024-08-18AEK Athens FCOFISuper League 13-0
2024-01-28AEK Athens FCOFISuper League 13-0
2023-10-02OFIAEK Athens FCSuper League 12-0
2023-03-05OFIAEK Athens FCSuper League 10-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

AEK Athens FC vs OFI odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 74.0%, draw 16.7%, away 9.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.26 5.70 9.85
Bet365 1.27 5.25 10.00
BetVictor 1.25 5.50 10.50
Betano 1.31 6.20 8.00
Betfair 1.22 5.50 10.50
Dafabet 1.28 6.00 9.60
Marathonbet 1.25 5.70 10.00
Pinnacle 1.26 6.21 10.51
SBO 1.27 5.03 7.34
William Hill 1.25 5.50 10.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.26 ▲ +0.06
X 5.60 ▼ -0.55
2 10.00 ▼ -3.00

44 snapshots recorded, from .