PAOK
vs
Kalamata
1 – 3 Full time
| 28′ | Kenneth Vargas | ||
| 43′ | Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro | ||
| 44′ | Cherif Ndiaye | ||
| 45′ | Dimitrios ChatsidisAndrija Živković | ||
| 45′ | Giannis MichailidisAritz Elustondo | ||
| 56′ | Kenneth Vargas | ||
| 60′ | David Kurminowski | ||
| 62′ | Antonis Tsiftsis | ||
| 63′ | Dimitrios PelkasDimitrios Monastirlis | ||
| 66′ | David Kurminowski | ||
| 73′ | Antônio Josenildo Rodrigues de OliveiraM. Bakayoko | ||
| 74′ | Taison Barcellos FredaSimon Banza | ||
| 74′ | Kristijan JakićOgnjen ugresic | ||
| 78′ | Djibril DiarraJ. Cataldi | ||
| 84′ | Ahmad Mendes MoreiraArgyrios Liatsikouras | ||
| 84′ | Erik HamzaArnór Sigurðsson | ||
| 84′ | David KurminowskiJosete Miranda | ||
| 89′ | Aritz Elustondo |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 61 | Possession % | 39 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 423 | Accurate passes | 259 |
PAOK vs Kalamata overview
Garuda Lions analysis: PAOK vs Kalamata
| Probability | PAOK | Draw | Kalamata |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.4% | 26.6% | 22.1% |
| Market | 77.8% | 14.4% | 7.9% |
| Final | 71.2% | 17.4% | 11.4% |
| Edge | -6.6% | +3.1% | +3.5% |
Why PAOK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
PAOK and Kalamata expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.70
PAOK and Kalamata attack and defence ratings
PAOK
Kalamata
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
PAOK vs Kalamata: result vs prediction
PAOK 1 – 3 Kalamata
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
PAOK vs Kalamata markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAOK | 71.2% | 1.41 | -6.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAOK | 71.2% |
| Draw | 17.4% | |
| Kalamata | 11.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% |
| No | 46.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | PAOK win | 28.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 48.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-0 | 10.1% | |
| 2-1 | 9.7% |
PAOK vs Kalamata stats
PAOK and Kalamata recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
PAOK and Kalamata going into this match
PAOK record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
Kalamata record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
PAOK vs Kalamata head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-10 | PAOK | Kalamata | Cup | 2-0 |
| 2022-12-14 | Kalamata | PAOK | Cup | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
PAOK vs Kalamata odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 77.8%, draw 14.4%, away 7.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.20 | 6.50 | 11.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 6.50 | 11.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.25 | 6.00 | 12.50 |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.23 | 6.60 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.19 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22 | 7.15 | 11.47 |
| SBO | 1.17 | 5.61 | 9.26 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
47 snapshots recorded, from .