PAOK
vs
Iraklis 1908
Garuda Lions Prediction: PAOK
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: PAOK vs Iraklis 1908
| Probability | PAOK | Draw | Iraklis 1908 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.0% | 30.3% | 28.7% |
| Market | 75.3% | 16.7% | 8.1% |
| Final | 66.7% | 20.1% | 13.2% |
| Edge | -34.3% | +13.6% | +20.6% |
Why PAOK
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.26, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 match preview
PAOK enters the match against Iraklis 1908 with a strong probability of winning at 69%, reflecting their recent form of three wins in their last five matches, alongside one draw and one loss. The expected goals for PAOK are 1.55, while Iraklis 1908 is projected to score 0.79, indicating a significant gap in offensive output. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 14% chance of occurring.
Iraklis 1908, on the other hand, has struggled recently, managing only one win in their last six matches, along with two draws and three losses. The probabilities suggest a 20% chance of a draw and an 11% chance of an Iraklis victory. Additionally, there is a 41% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance that both teams will score in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
PAOK and Iraklis 1908 expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.35
PAOK and Iraklis 1908 attack and defence ratings
PAOK
Iraklis 1908
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAOK | 66.7% | 1.50 | -34.3% | 1.26 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAOK | 66.7% |
| Draw | 20.1% | |
| Iraklis 1908 | 13.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.6% |
| No | 51.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | PAOK win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 59.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | |
| 0-0 | 10.8% |
PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 stats
PAOK and Iraklis 1908 recent form
| PAOK |
LWWWLD |
| Iraklis 1908 |
WDDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
PAOK and Iraklis 1908 season so far
PAOK record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
Iraklis 1908 record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 75.5%, draw 16.2%, away 8.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 5.55 | 12.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| Betano | 1.26 | 5.90 | 11.50 |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.26 | 6.20 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.23 | 5.55 | 12.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23 | 5.96 | 11.00 |
| SBO | 1.21 | 5.13 | 8.30 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.50 | 12.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
16 snapshots recorded, from .