OFI
vs
PAOK
Garuda Lions Prediction: PAOK
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — PAOK is the favourite, not a value bet.
OFI vs PAOK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: OFI vs PAOK
| Probability | OFI | Draw | PAOK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.6% | 25.8% | 35.5% |
| Market | 20.0% | 24.8% | 55.2% |
| Final | 24.6% | 25.1% | 50.3% |
| Edge | +4.7% | +0.2% | -4.9% |
Why PAOK
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.0% per unit staked (our 50.3% × 1.75 − 1).
OFI vs PAOK match preview
In the upcoming Super League 1 match, OFI faces PAOK with a probability of victory for PAOK at 49%, while OFI stands at 26% and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2, occurring with an 8% likelihood. The model also suggests a strong chance of over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 66%.
Recent form shows OFI struggling with three consecutive losses before securing two wins, while PAOK has had a mixed run with three wins followed by a loss. In their last ten encounters, OFI has won three times, drawn three, and lost four against PAOK. The expected goals for OFI are 1.79, while PAOK is at 1.51, indicating a competitive matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
OFI and PAOK expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
OFI and PAOK attack and defence ratings
OFI
PAOK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
OFI vs PAOK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAOK | 50.3% | 1.99 | -4.9% | 1.75 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | OFI | 24.6% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| PAOK | 50.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.7% |
| No | 36.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | PAOK win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 64.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
OFI vs PAOK stats
OFI and PAOK recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
OFI and PAOK season so far
OFI record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
PAOK record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
OFI vs PAOK head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | PAOK | OFI | Greece Cup | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-25 | PAOK | OFI | Greece Cup | 2-3 |
| 2026-01-18 | PAOK | OFI | Super League 1 | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-14 | OFI | PAOK | Super League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-08 | OFI | PAOK | Super League 1 | 0-5 |
| 2024-10-27 | PAOK | OFI | Super League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2024-01-03 | PAOK | OFI | Super League 1 | 4-0 |
| 2023-09-03 | OFI | PAOK | Super League 1 | 1-0 |
| 2023-01-14 | PAOK | OFI | Super League 1 | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-18 | OFI | PAOK | Super League 1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
OFI vs PAOK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.1%, draw 25.0%, away 54.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.70 | 3.78 | 1.69 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 3.50 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 4.50 | 3.70 | 1.67 |
| Betano | 5.00 | 3.65 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 3.80 | 1.73 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 3.80 | 1.72 |
| Marathonbet | 4.75 | 3.78 | 1.67 |
| Pinnacle | 4.51 | 3.82 | 1.74 |
| SBO | 4.25 | 3.43 | 1.60 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.50 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
25 snapshots recorded, from .