Volos NFC
vs
Panathinaikos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Panathinaikos
0 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.81 vs 0.92.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Panathinaikos is the favourite, not a value bet.
Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos
| Probability | Volos NFC | Draw | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 9.0% | 15.2% | 75.8% |
| Market | 11.1% | 19.3% | 69.7% |
| Final | 10.5% | 18.2% | 71.2% |
| Edge | -0.5% | -1.0% | +1.5% |
Why Panathinaikos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.81 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.38, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.7% per unit staked (our 71.2% × 1.38 − 1).
Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos match preview
Volos NFC faces Panathinaikos in a Super League 1 matchup on October 25, 2026. The probabilities indicate a significant advantage for Panathinaikos, with a 66% chance of victory compared to Volos NFC's 12%. Recent form reflects this disparity, as Volos NFC has struggled with five losses and a draw in their last six matches, while Panathinaikos has won five consecutive games.
The expected goals for Volos NFC stand at 0.90, while Panathinaikos is projected to score 2.12. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-2, occurring with an 11% probability. Additionally, there is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% likelihood that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Volos NFC and Panathinaikos expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.74
Volos NFC and Panathinaikos attack and defence ratings
Volos NFC
Panathinaikos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panathinaikos | 71.2% | 1.40 | +1.5% | 1.38 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Panathinaikos win | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Volos NFC | 10.5% |
| Draw | 18.2% | |
| Panathinaikos | 71.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% |
| No | 42.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 28.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 89.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panathinaikos win | 56.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 24.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 9.4% |
| 0-3 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 8.7% |
Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos stats
Volos NFC and Panathinaikos recent form
| Volos NFC |
DLLLLD |
| Panathinaikos |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Volos NFC and Panathinaikos season so far
Volos NFC record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Panathinaikos record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | Panathinaikos | Volos NFC | Super League 1 | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Volos NFC | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.1%, draw 19.2%, away 69.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.45 | 4.85 | 1.34 |
| Bet365 | 8.50 | 4.75 | 1.36 |
| BetVictor | 8.50 | 4.80 | 1.30 |
| Betano | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.38 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.33 |
| Dafabet | 8.00 | 5.20 | 1.37 |
| Marathonbet | 8.50 | 4.85 | 1.33 |
| Pinnacle | 8.30 | 5.20 | 1.33 |
| SBO | 6.95 | 4.40 | 1.30 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 4.60 | 1.35 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
26 snapshots recorded, from .