Iraklis 1908
vs
Levadiakos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Iraklis 1908
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos
| Probability | Iraklis 1908 | Draw | Levadiakos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.1% | 32.3% | 21.6% |
| Market | 41.4% | 31.2% | 27.5% |
| Final | 42.5% | 31.4% | 26.0% |
| Edge | +4.8% | +1.2% | -5.9% |
Why Iraklis 1908
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.76.
- The market prices Iraklis 1908 below the model: +4.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos match preview
Iraklis 1908 faces Levadiakos in a Super League 1 matchup, with the probabilities indicating a 40% chance of victory for Iraklis, while both a draw and a Levadiakos win are at 30%. The expected goals suggest Iraklis 1908 is likely to score 1.23, compared to Levadiakos's 0.76. Our model predicts a most likely scoreline of 1-0, with a 16% probability, and indicates a 39% chance that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Iraklis 1908 has recorded two draws and four losses in their last six matches, while Levadiakos has one win, one draw, and four losses in the same period. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Iraklis 1908 and Levadiakos expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.99
Iraklis 1908 and Levadiakos attack and defence ratings
Iraklis 1908
Levadiakos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Iraklis 1908 | 42.5% | 2.35 | +4.8% | 2.30 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Iraklis 1908 | 42.5% |
| Draw | 31.4% | |
| Levadiakos | 26.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.9% |
| No | 61.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Iraklis 1908 win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 53.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.6% |
| 0-0 | 15.0% | |
| 1-1 | 14.0% |
Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos stats
Iraklis 1908 and Levadiakos recent form
| Iraklis 1908 |
DDLDLL |
| Levadiakos |
LDLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 31.2%, away 27.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 2.98 | 3.41 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.29 | 3.15 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 2.98 | 3.40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 3.01 | 3.58 |
| SBO | 2.16 | 2.86 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 2.80 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
42 snapshots recorded, from .