Super League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 6

Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos

2 – 1 Full time

4′Kalvin Ketu
22′Julián Bartolo
23′Dani García
31′Dimitrios KourbelisJulián Chicco
45′Mattheos MountesSotiris Tsiloulis
45′S. PnevmonidisKelvin Ofori
55′Julián Chicco
57′Dani García
69′Kelvin Ofori
71′Kalvin KetuAntonis Papakanellos
73′Juan José PereaPanagiotis Tsantilas
74′Sotiris TsiloulisAnastasios Kotsis
84′Dani GarcíaSerginho
90′Federico MachedaNikos Kaltsas
90′Julián BartoloGiannis Bouzoukis
90′Eder GonzálezRicardo Viana Filho

Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, TripolisReferee: Moschou Dimitrios

Asteras Tripolis 41%
Draw 30%
Atromitos 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 1
35 Possession % 65
1 Corners 6
14 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 3
0 Saves 7
221 Accurate passes 463

Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAsteras TripolisDrawAtromitos
Model44.6%28.4%27.0%
Market39.2%30.1%30.6%
Final40.6%29.7%29.7%
Edge+1.3%-0.4%-0.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Asteras Tripol ↓ / Atromitos → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Asteras Tripolis and Atromitos expected goals

Asteras Tripolis 1.35
Atromitos 1.23

Total expected goals: 2.58

Asteras Tripolis and Atromitos attack and defence ratings

Asteras Tripolis

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Atromitos

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos: result vs prediction

Asteras Tripolis 2 – 1 Atromitos

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Super League 1

Before and after this match

Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Asteras Tripolis 40.6% 2.47 +1.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.1% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.0% 1.89 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.3% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.5% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Asteras Tripolis40.6%
Draw29.7%
Atromitos29.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.9%
Under 2.552.1%
Both teams to scoreYes53.0%
No47.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.3%
12 (either side)70.3%
X2 (draw or away)59.4%
Handicap -1Asteras Tripolis win18.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss61.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
1-09.9%
2-19.1%

Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos stats

Asteras Tripolis and Atromitos recent form

newest first
Asteras Tripolis DWDDLL
Atromitos LLDDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Asteras Tripolis and Atromitos going into this match

league record before kick-off

Asteras Tripolis record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Atromitos record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Asteras Tripolis wins 1Draws 4Atromitos wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02Asteras TripolisAtromitosSuper League 14-2
2026-04-26AtromitosAsteras TripolisSuper League 12-1
2026-02-21Asteras TripolisAtromitosSuper League 11-2
2025-11-30AtromitosAsteras TripolisSuper League 10-1
2025-07-19AtromitosAsteras TripolisFriendlies Clubs0-0
2025-05-03Asteras TripolisAtromitosSuper League 11-4
2025-04-07AtromitosAsteras TripolisSuper League 10-1
2025-01-05AtromitosAsteras TripolisSuper League 10-1
2024-09-14Asteras TripolisAtromitosSuper League 11-2
2024-05-11AtromitosAsteras TripolisSuper League 10-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.2%, draw 30.1%, away 30.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.37 3.08 3.10
Bet365 2.40 3.20 3.00
BetVictor 2.38 3.13 3.00
Betano 2.37 3.25 3.15
Betfair 2.30 3.10 3.00
Dafabet 2.41 3.20 3.10
Marathonbet 2.35 3.08 3.08
Pinnacle 2.45 3.06 3.30
SBO 2.26 2.95 2.87
William Hill 2.40 2.90 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.38 ▼ -0.08
X 3.09 ▲ +0.04
2 3.04 ▲ +0.16

44 snapshots recorded, from .