OFI
vs
Asteras Tripolis
2 – 2 Full time
| 18′ | Giannis Apostolakis | ||
| 24′ | Federico Macheda | ||
| 30′ | Dimitrios Laskaris | ||
| 48′ | Borja González | ||
| 50′ | Kalvin Ketu | ||
| 58′ | Giannis ApostolakisNikolaos Athanasiou | ||
| 58′ | Aaron Leya IsekaKenan Kodro | ||
| 58′ | Anastasios ChatzigiovanisTaxiarchis Fountas | ||
| 59′ | Federico Macheda | ||
| 65′ | Thiago Nuss | ||
| 66′ | Thiago NussAitor Cantalapiedra | ||
| 72′ | Federico MachedaRicardo Viana Filho | ||
| 78′ | Georgios Kanellopoulos | ||
| 81′ | Borja GonzálezLorenzo Dickmann | ||
| 83′ | Julián Bartolobruno perez | ||
| 90′ | Kalvin KetuAlexandros Tereziou | ||
| 90′ | Nikolaos Athanasiou |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 494 | Accurate passes | 244 |
OFI vs Asteras Tripolis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: OFI vs Asteras Tripolis
| Probability | OFI | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.9% | 28.5% | 15.6% |
| Market | 42.5% | 29.9% | 27.6% |
| Final | 45.9% | 29.5% | 24.6% |
| Edge | +13.4% | -1.4% | -12.0% |
Why OFI
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices OFI below the model: +13.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
OFI and Asteras Tripolis expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
OFI and Asteras Tripolis attack and defence ratings
OFI
Asteras Tripolis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
OFI vs Asteras Tripolis: result vs prediction
OFI 2 – 2 Asteras Tripolis
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
OFI vs Asteras Tripolis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | OFI | 45.9% | 2.18 | +13.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | OFI | 45.9% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Asteras Tripolis | 24.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.2% |
| No | 60.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | OFI win | 29.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.1% | |
| Loss | 44.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.9% |
| 2-0 | 12.8% | |
| 1-1 | 12.7% |
OFI vs Asteras Tripolis stats
OFI and Asteras Tripolis recent form
| OFI |
WWWWDL |
| Asteras Tripolis |
WDDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
OFI vs Asteras Tripolis head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | OFI | Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | 4-0 |
| 2026-01-07 | OFI | Asteras Tripolis | Greece Cup | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Asteras Tripolis | OFI | Super League 1 | 3-0 |
| 2025-04-26 | OFI | Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-13 | Asteras Tripolis | OFI | Super League 1 | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-02 | OFI | Asteras Tripolis | Cup | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-26 | Asteras Tripolis | OFI | Cup | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-15 | OFI | Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-04 | Asteras Tripolis | OFI | Super League 1 | 3-0 |
| 2024-04-27 | Asteras Tripolis | OFI | Super League 1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
OFI vs Asteras Tripolis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 29.9%, away 27.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.21 | 3.10 | 3.39 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.13 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.15 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.10 | 3.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 3.17 | 3.57 |
| SBO | 2.20 | 2.92 | 3.02 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .