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UEFA Europa League · Full time ·League Stage - 1

OFI vs Hoffenheim

2 – 0 Full time

23′Vladimír Coufal
30′Aitor Cantalapiedra
45′Albian HajdariKoki Machida
53′Nathan De Cat
56′Athanasios Androutsos
60′Nathan De CatAndrej Kramarić
60′Patrick WimmerBambasé Conté
60′Taxiarchis FountasThiago Nuss
63′Koki Machida
64′Aitor Cantalapiedra
67′Mats RotsAdam Daghim
70′Aitor CantalapiedraGiannis Apostolakis
70′Andreas BouchalakisGeorgios Kanellopoulos
75′Adam HložekFisnik Asllani
80′Lorenzo DickmannBorja González
80′Kenan KodroAaron Leya Iseka
84′Georgios Kanellopoulos

Pankritio Stadium, HeraklionReferee: J. Alberola

OFI 23%
Draw 18%
Hoffenheim 58%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 5
33 Possession % 67
4 Corners 8
8 Fouls 23
2 Offsides 3
5 Saves 1
166 Accurate passes 450

OFI vs Hoffenheim overview

Garuda Lions analysis: OFI vs Hoffenheim

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOFIDrawHoffenheim
Model61.8%21.4%16.8%
Market10.6%17.3%72.1%
Final23.4%18.3%58.3%
Edge+51.2%+4.1%-55.3%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

OFI ↓ / Hoffenheim → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 10% 2 9% 10% 5% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

OFI and Hoffenheim expected goals

OFI 2.21
Hoffenheim 1.09

Total expected goals: 3.30

OFI and Hoffenheim attack and defence ratings

OFI

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.63 -37%

Hoffenheim

Attack 1.52 +52%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

OFI vs Hoffenheim: result vs prediction

OFI 2 – 0 Hoffenheim

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League Stage - 1 fixtures

UEFA Europa League

Before and after this match

OFI vs Hoffenheim markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hoffenheim 58.3% 1.72 -55.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.0% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.0% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 81.7% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 83.2% 1.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2OFI23.4%
Draw18.3%
Hoffenheim58.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.0%
Under 2.536.0%
Both teams to scoreYes60.0%
No40.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)41.7%
12 (either side)81.7%
X2 (draw or away)76.6%
Handicap -1Hoffenheim win6.4%
Push (exactly one goal)10.4%
Loss83.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.8%
1-19.8%
2-09.0%

OFI vs Hoffenheim stats

OFI and Hoffenheim recent form

newest first
OFI WWWDLW
Hoffenheim WLLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

OFI vs Hoffenheim head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

OFI vs Hoffenheim odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 10.6%, draw 17.3%, away 72.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 9.70 5.68 1.33
Bet365 9.00 5.25 1.33
BetVictor 9.00 5.50 1.29
Betano 9.00 6.00 1.34
Betfair 9.00 5.50 1.30
Marathonbet 9.60 5.60 1.31
Pinnacle 9.22 5.64 1.33
SBO 7.43 5.32 1.32
William Hill 9.00 5.00 1.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 9.00 ▲ +1.69
X 5.50 ▲ +0.80
2 1.32 ▼ -0.08

14 snapshots recorded, from .