Shakhtar Donetsk
vs
AEK Athens FC
3 – 1 Full time
| 18′ | Lovro Majer | ||
| 28′ | Lovro Majer | ||
| 34′ | Pedrinho | ||
| 42′ | Harold Moukoudi | ||
| 54′ | Marlon Gomes | ||
| 61′ | Răzvan Marin | ||
| 63′ | PedrinhoIsaque | ||
| 63′ | NewertonGleiker Mendoza | ||
| 71′ | Lovro MajerJoão Mário | ||
| 71′ | Ambrósini António Cabaça SalvadorMijat Gaćinović | ||
| 78′ | Milan VitálisKaan Kairinen | ||
| 79′ | Luka JovicBarnabás Varga | ||
| 80′ | Vinícius Tobias | ||
| 81′ | Marlon GomesEgor Nazaryna | ||
| 83′ | Răzvan MarinOleksandr Zubkov | ||
| 86′ | Gleiker Mendoza | ||
| 87′ | Kauã EliasLuca Meirelles | ||
| 87′ | AlissonLucas Ferreira | ||
| 90′ | Barnabás Varga |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 403 | Accurate passes | 318 |
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC
| Probability | Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | AEK Athens FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.0% | 31.7% | 33.4% |
| Market | 35.6% | 27.9% | 36.5% |
| Final | 35.4% | 28.9% | 35.7% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +0.9% | -0.8% |
Why AEK Athens FC
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK Athens FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK Athens FC attack and defence ratings
Shakhtar Donetsk
AEK Athens FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC: result vs prediction
Shakhtar Donetsk 3 – 1 AEK Athens FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- Lens v Sporting CP — match page
- Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha — team news & stats
- Arsenal vs Lille
- RasenBallsport Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven — match page
- Inter vs Club Brugge KV — team news & stats
- Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United
- Villarreal v Napoli — match page
- Galatasaray vs Barcelona — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEK Athens FC | 35.7% | 2.80 | -0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 35.4% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| AEK Athens FC | 35.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.2% |
| No | 53.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | AEK Athens FC win | 14.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 66.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.2% | |
| 1-0 | 10.9% |
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC stats
Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK Athens FC recent form
| Shakhtar Donetsk |
WWWDWL |
| AEK Athens FC |
WWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-13 | AEK Athens FC | Shakhtar Donetsk | Friendlies Clubs | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.6%, draw 27.9%, away 36.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.79 | 3.49 | 2.70 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.40 | 2.65 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.45 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.72 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.72 | 3.42 | 2.72 |
| SBO | 2.58 | 3.21 | 2.50 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
16 snapshots recorded, from .