Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk

0 – 3 Full time

32′Pedrinho
37′Rostyslav baran
39′Igor Kharatin
39′Dmytro Kryskiv
45′Dmytro KryskivIsaque
58′Mykola Matvienko
65′Danyil ChecherDavid Niyo
68′Mykola Matvienko
71′Pedro Henrique
72′Mykola MatvienkoLuca Meirelles
73′Pedro HenriqueOleksandr Karavaev
73′Kauã EliasEgor Nazaryna
73′Vladyslav SharayWesley Pomba
81′PedrinhoAlan Matturro
84′André GonçalvesGuilherme Bahia
84′Fabrício Yan Peixoto Barros LimeiraStanislav Migutskyi
90′Isaque

Avanhard Stadium, UzhhorodReferee: Viktor Kopievskiy

Veres Rivne 10%
Draw 20%
Shakhtar Donetsk 69%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

4 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 9
30 Possession % 70
3 Corners 13

Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVeres RivneDrawShakhtar Donetsk
Model15.6%26.6%57.8%
Market8.8%18.2%73.0%
Final10.5%20.3%69.2%
Edge+6.9%+8.3%-15.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Shakhtar Donetsk

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.75.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Veres Rivne ↓ / Shakhtar Donet → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 14% 12% 1 12% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Veres Rivne and Shakhtar Donetsk expected goals

Veres Rivne 0.75
Shakhtar Donetsk 1.64

Total expected goals: 2.39

Veres Rivne and Shakhtar Donetsk attack and defence ratings

Veres Rivne

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Shakhtar Donetsk

Attack 1.43 +43%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk: result vs prediction

Veres Rivne 0 – 3 Shakhtar Donetsk

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Shakhtar Donetsk 69.2% 1.45 -15.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.2% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score No 56.4% 1.77 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 89.5% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.2% 2.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Veres Rivne10.5%
Draw20.3%
Shakhtar Donetsk69.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.8%
Under 2.557.2%
Both teams to scoreYes43.6%
No56.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)30.8%
12 (either side)79.7%
X2 (draw or away)89.5%
Handicap -1Shakhtar Donetsk win32.5%
Push (exactly one goal)25.3%
Loss42.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-113.9%
0-212.4%
1-112.4%

Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk stats

Veres Rivne and Shakhtar Donetsk recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Veres Rivne and Shakhtar Donetsk going into this match

league record before kick-off

Veres Rivne record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Shakhtar Donetsk record

  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

0Veres Rivne wins 2Draws 7Shakhtar Donetsk wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-27Shakhtar DonetskVeres RivneUkraine Premier League1-0
2025-08-17Veres RivneShakhtar DonetskUkraine Premier League0-2
2025-04-06Shakhtar DonetskVeres RivnePremier League3-0
2024-09-27Veres RivneShakhtar DonetskPremier League1-1
2023-12-08Shakhtar DonetskVeres RivnePremier League2-0
2023-09-26Veres RivneShakhtar DonetskCup0-3
2023-08-02Veres RivneShakhtar DonetskPremier League1-1
2023-05-19Shakhtar DonetskVeres RivnePremier League2-1
2022-11-09Veres RivneShakhtar DonetskPremier League0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 8.8%, draw 18.2%, away 73.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 11.00 5.35 1.30
Bet365 10.00 4.50 1.25
Betano 9.75 4.90 1.28
Betfair 11.00 5.00 1.20
Dafabet 10.00 5.40 1.27
Marathonbet 11.75 5.15 1.24
Pinnacle 10.40 5.50 1.25
SBO 8.49 4.70 1.23
William Hill 11.00 5.00 1.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 10.40 ▼ -0.10
X 5.00 ▼ -0.08
2 1.25 ▼ -0.02

7 snapshots recorded, from .