Ukraine Premier League · ·Matchday 8

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Garuda Lions Prediction: Kolos Kovalivka

1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability

Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka

Kolos Kovalivka 42%
Draw 30%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Kolos Kovalivka wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
86%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
43%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
12% of simulated outcomes

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKolos KovalivkaDrawEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
Model37.4%32.6%30.0%
Market43.8%29.4%26.8%
Final42.2%30.2%27.6%
Edge-6.4%+3.2%+3.2%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 2.17, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi match preview

Kolos Kovalivka holds a 42% probability of winning against Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, with the model predicting a likely scoreline of 1-0 at 12%. The expected goals for Kolos Kovalivka stand at 1.12, while Epitsentr Dunayivtsi is projected at 0.97. Recent form shows Kolos Kovalivka with a record of W-L-D-D-L-L, while Epitsentr Dunayivtsi has L-L-D-W-D-L.

In their last three encounters, Kolos Kovalivka has secured 2 wins, while Epitsentr Dunayivtsi has 1 win, indicating a competitive history. The probabilities for a draw sit at 30%, and both teams to score is estimated at 43%. With a confidence grade of C, this matchup presents an intriguing contest in the Ukraine Premier League.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kolos Kovalivk ↓ / Epitsentr Duna → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 11% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

Kolos Kovalivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi expected goals

Kolos Kovalivka 1.12
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0.97

Total expected goals: 2.09

Kolos Kovalivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi attack and defence ratings

Kolos Kovalivka

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kolos Kovalivka 42.2% 2.37 -6.4% 2.17
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.2% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score No 56.8% 1.76 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.6% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kolos Kovalivka42.2%
Draw30.2%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi27.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.8%
Under 2.565.2%
Both teams to scoreYes43.2%
No56.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.4%
12 (either side)69.8%
X2 (draw or away)57.8%
Handicap -1Kolos Kovalivka win16.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss62.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.7%
1-012.5%

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi stats

Kolos Kovalivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kolos Kovalivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi season so far

league record

Kolos Kovalivka record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Kolos Kovalivka wins 0Draws 1Epitsentr Dunayivtsi wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-07Epitsentr DunayivtsiKolos KovalivkaUkraine Premier League4-0
2025-08-30Kolos KovalivkaEpitsentr DunayivtsiUkraine Premier League1-0
2025-07-26Kolos KovalivkaEpitsentr DunayivtsiFriendlies Clubs5-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.8%, draw 29.4%, away 26.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.17 3.27 3.56
Bet365 2.10 2.90 3.30
Betano 2.07 3.15 3.45
Betfair 2.05 3.10 3.30
Dafabet 2.08 3.30 3.50
Marathonbet 2.11 3.12 3.42
Pinnacle 2.11 3.16 3.46
William Hill 2.10 3.00 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▲ +0.07
X 3.13 ▼ -0.17
2 3.44 ▼ -0.06

18 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Kolos Kovalivka Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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