Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

3 – 1 Full time

8′Nil Coch
25′Denys Ndukve
33′Artem Kozak
43′Arinaldo Rrapaj
45′Serhii Nagornyak
60′Arinaldo RrapajLuka·Stankovski
69′Ibrahim KaneArdit Tahiri
79′Oleksandr Demchenko
82′Andriy LipovuzMykola Myronyuk
82′Igor KyryukhantsevDaniel Rueda Bodega
85′Zurab Rukhadze
88′Mykyta Burda
88′Yevgen ZaporozhetsDaniil Vashchenko
90′Zurab RukhadzeRoman Goncharenko
90′Denys Ndukve

Kolos Stadium, KovalivkaReferee: Denys Reznikov

Kolos Kovalivka 45%
Draw 30%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

1 Shots 1
1 Shots on target 1
53 Possession % 47
0 Corners 1

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKolos KovalivkaDrawEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
Model37.4%32.6%30.0%
Market47.7%28.7%23.6%
Final45.1%29.7%25.2%
Edge-2.6%+1.0%+1.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kolos Kovalivk ↓ / Epitsentr Duna → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 11% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

Kolos Kovalivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi expected goals

Kolos Kovalivka 1.12
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0.97

Total expected goals: 2.09

Kolos Kovalivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi attack and defence ratings

Kolos Kovalivka

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: result vs prediction

Kolos Kovalivka 3 – 1 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kolos Kovalivka 45.1% 2.22 -2.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.2% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score No 56.8% 1.76 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.6% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kolos Kovalivka45.1%
Draw29.7%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi25.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.8%
Under 2.565.2%
Both teams to scoreYes43.2%
No56.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.8%
12 (either side)70.3%
X2 (draw or away)54.9%
Handicap -1Kolos Kovalivka win16.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss62.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.7%
1-012.5%

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi stats

Kolos Kovalivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kolos Kovalivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kolos Kovalivka record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Kolos Kovalivka wins 0Draws 1Epitsentr Dunayivtsi wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-07Epitsentr DunayivtsiKolos KovalivkaUkraine Premier League4-0
2025-08-30Kolos KovalivkaEpitsentr DunayivtsiUkraine Premier League1-0
2025-07-26Kolos KovalivkaEpitsentr DunayivtsiFriendlies Clubs5-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.7%, draw 28.7%, away 23.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.01 3.33 3.98
Bet365 1.85 3.10 3.90
Betano 1.93 3.20 3.80
Betfair 1.91 3.25 3.60
Dafabet 1.94 3.30 3.95
Marathonbet 1.96 3.20 3.80
Pinnacle 1.93 3.23 3.99
William Hill 1.95 3.10 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.94 ▼ -0.10
X 3.21 ▼ -0.08
2 3.90 ▲ +0.40

19 snapshots recorded, from .