Chornomorets
vs
FC Kharkiv
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Kharkiv
0 – 1 Predicted score · 17% model probability
Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv
| Probability | Chornomorets | Draw | FC Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.6% | 30.2% | 53.2% |
| Market | 14.0% | 22.6% | 63.5% |
| Final | 14.6% | 24.5% | 60.9% |
| Edge | +2.7% | +7.6% | -10.3% |
Why FC Kharkiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.66.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv match preview
Chornomorets faces FC Kharkiv in the Ukraine Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for October 10, 2026. According to our model, Chornomorets has a 15% chance of winning, while FC Kharkiv is favored at 61%. The expected goals for Chornomorets stand at 0.66, compared to FC Kharkiv's 1.38. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring with a 17% probability.
In terms of recent form, Chornomorets has recorded a draw, two losses, and a win in their last five matches, while FC Kharkiv has achieved three wins and two losses. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters shows Chornomorets with four wins, FC Kharkiv with two, and four draws. The model suggests a 33% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chornomorets and FC Kharkiv expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.04
Chornomorets and FC Kharkiv attack and defence ratings
Chornomorets
FC Kharkiv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Kharkiv | 60.9% | 1.64 | -10.3% | 1.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chornomorets | 14.6% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| FC Kharkiv | 60.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.3% |
| No | 62.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Kharkiv win | 26.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.3% | |
| Loss | 46.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 16.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.2% | |
| 1-1 | 13.0% |
Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv stats
Chornomorets and FC Kharkiv recent form
| Chornomorets |
DLDWLL |
| FC Kharkiv |
WWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chornomorets and FC Kharkiv season so far
Chornomorets record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
FC Kharkiv record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-12 | Chornomorets | FC Kharkiv | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2023-11-05 | FC Kharkiv | Chornomorets | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2023-03-11 | Chornomorets | FC Kharkiv | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-27 | FC Kharkiv | Chornomorets | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2021-12-12 | Chornomorets | FC Kharkiv | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2021-08-06 | FC Kharkiv | Chornomorets | Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2021-05-27 | FC Kharkiv | Chornomorets | Persha Liga | 0-1 |
| 2020-11-15 | Chornomorets | FC Kharkiv | Persha Liga | 2-0 |
| 2020-08-03 | FC Kharkiv | Chornomorets | Persha Liga | 0-0 |
| 2019-10-12 | Chornomorets | FC Kharkiv | Persha Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.0%, draw 22.6%, away 63.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.80 | 4.26 | 1.50 |
| Bet365 | 6.25 | 3.80 | 1.44 |
| Betano | 6.20 | 4.00 | 1.47 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 4.00 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 6.60 | 4.20 | 1.47 |
| Marathonbet | 7.30 | 4.10 | 1.42 |
| Pinnacle | 7.27 | 4.14 | 1.43 |
| William Hill | 6.50 | 3.90 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
18 snapshots recorded, from .