Chornomorets
vs
FC Kharkiv
1 – 2 Full time
| 17′ | Jerry Yoka | ||
| 24′ | Carlos Paraco | ||
| 48′ | Ramik Gadzhiev | ||
| 57′ | Baton Zabergja | ||
| 60′ | Kiril·Popov | ||
| 63′ | Baton ZabergjaOleksandr Yatsyk | ||
| 76′ | Danyil AlefirenkoVladyslav Gerych | ||
| 76′ | Vladyslav KlymenkoOleksiy Gusev | ||
| 84′ | Carlos ParacoSebastian Alejandro Castillo Perez | ||
| 84′ | Peter ItodoErmir Rashica | ||
| 85′ | M. JobeAndriy Khoma | ||
| 90′ | Oleksandr Yatsyk | ||
| 90′ | Ramik GadzhievDenys Antyukh |
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 35 | Possession % | 65 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv
| Probability | Chornomorets | Draw | FC Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.6% | 30.2% | 53.2% |
| Market | 12.3% | 21.6% | 66.0% |
| Final | 13.4% | 23.8% | 62.8% |
| Edge | +1.1% | +2.1% | -3.2% |
Why FC Kharkiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.66.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chornomorets and FC Kharkiv expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.04
Chornomorets and FC Kharkiv attack and defence ratings
Chornomorets
FC Kharkiv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv: result vs prediction
Chornomorets 1 – 2 FC Kharkiv
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Kharkiv | 62.8% | 1.59 | -3.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chornomorets | 13.4% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| FC Kharkiv | 62.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.3% |
| No | 62.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 86.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Kharkiv win | 26.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.3% | |
| Loss | 46.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 16.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.2% | |
| 1-1 | 13.0% |
Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv stats
Chornomorets and FC Kharkiv recent form
| Chornomorets |
DLDWLL |
| FC Kharkiv |
WWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chornomorets and FC Kharkiv going into this match
Chornomorets record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
FC Kharkiv record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-12 | Chornomorets | FC Kharkiv | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2023-11-05 | FC Kharkiv | Chornomorets | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2023-03-11 | Chornomorets | FC Kharkiv | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-27 | FC Kharkiv | Chornomorets | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2021-12-12 | Chornomorets | FC Kharkiv | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2021-08-06 | FC Kharkiv | Chornomorets | Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2021-05-27 | FC Kharkiv | Chornomorets | Persha Liga | 0-1 |
| 2020-11-15 | Chornomorets | FC Kharkiv | Persha Liga | 2-0 |
| 2020-08-03 | FC Kharkiv | Chornomorets | Persha Liga | 0-0 |
| 2019-10-12 | Chornomorets | FC Kharkiv | Persha Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 12.3%, draw 21.6%, away 66.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.90 | 4.56 | 1.42 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 4.00 | 1.38 |
| Betano | 6.80 | 4.25 | 1.42 |
| Betfair | 7.50 | 4.20 | 1.36 |
| Dafabet | 7.20 | 4.50 | 1.41 |
| Marathonbet | 7.80 | 4.30 | 1.38 |
| Pinnacle | 7.67 | 4.35 | 1.40 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 4.20 | 1.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
19 snapshots recorded, from .